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Home » Predictions » Champions League » Aston Villa x Club Brugge Betting tips for March 12 in UEFA Champions League
Wednesday, 12 March 2025, 20h00 UEFA Champions League
Aston Villa Aston Villa
PREDICTION Aston Villa wins Probability 74% 1 X 2
Club Brugge Club Brugge
ODD: @1.57 Don't miss this prediction!

Aston Villa x Club Brugge Betting tips for March 12 in UEFA Champions League

Our betting tip for Aston Villa x Club Brugge, Wednesday, 12/3/2025
📅 12/3/2025
20:00
Aston Villa Aston Villa
1.57
X
4.33
Club Brugge Club Brugge
5.20

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Aston Villa x Club Brugge:

🔮 Aston Villa wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Aston Villa, you can win up to $785.00!

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The main points for the tip for Aston Villa x Club Brugge:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Aston Villa in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $52.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Club Brugge in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $333.0.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, Aston Villa scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Club Brugge scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Club Brugge conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 road matches, Club Brugge has not lost any of them.

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Summary

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Analysis from Aston Villa x Club Brugge for the UEFA Champions League – 12 of March

🏟️ Aston Villa X Club Brugge – UEFA Champions League
📅 12 of March, 2025 – 20:00
🔵 Aston Villa – Winning probability: 74.27% | Fair line: 1.35
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 11.38% | Fair line: 8.79
🔴 Club Brugge – Winning probability: 14.35% | Fair line: 6.97
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Aston Villa
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Aston Villa and Club Brugge.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1280306 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Aston Villa x Club Brugge

Should you bet on Aston Villa?

🔵 Aston Villa: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 74.27% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.57. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 740 times – profiting $421.80;
  • And would lose other 260 times – having a loss of -$260.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$161.80.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 11.38% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.33. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 110 times – profiting $366.30;
  • And would lose other 890 times – losing -$890.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$523.70.

Is it worth betting on Club Brugge?

🔴 Club Brugge: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 14.35%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 140 times – profiting $588.00;
  • And would have lost other 860 times – with a loss of -$860.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$272.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Aston Villa x Club Brugge

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Aston Villa
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Aston Villa x Club Brugge

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.0 Aston Villa, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 Aston Villa.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Aston Villa x Club Brugge

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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