Atletico Madrid x Real Madrid Betting tips for March 12 in UEFA Champions League
| 📅 12/3/2025 20:00 |
 Atletico Madrid2.60 |
X 3.50 |
Real Madrid  2.60 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Atletico Madrid x Real Madrid:
🔮 Atletico Madrid wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Atletico Madrid, you can win up to $1300.00!
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The main points for the tip for Atletico Madrid x Real Madrid: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Atletico Madrid in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-8.0. |
Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Atletico Madrid x Real Madrid?
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Analysis from Atletico Madrid x Real Madrid for the UEFA Champions League – 12 of March
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🏟️ Atletico Madrid X Real Madrid – UEFA Champions League |
When the best bet on Atletico Madrid x Real Madrid is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1280306 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Atletico Madrid x Real Madrid
Is it a good idea to bet on Atletico Madrid?
🔵 Atletico Madrid: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 49.44%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 490 times – having a profit of $784.00;
- And would lose other 510 times – having a loss of -$510.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$274.00.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 20.24% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 200 times – this would give you a profit of $500.00
- And would lose other 800 times – having a loss of -$800.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$300.00.
Should you bet on Real Madrid?
🔴 Real Madrid: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 30.31% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 300 times – this would give you a profit of $480.00
- And would have lost other 700 times – with a loss of -$700.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$220.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Atletico Madrid x Real Madrid
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Atletico Madrid
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Atletico Madrid x Real Madrid
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Atletico Madrid and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Atletico Madrid.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Atletico Madrid.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Atletico Madrid x Real Madrid
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.
