Bayer Leverkusen x AC Milan Betting tips for October 1 in UEFA Champions League
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1/10/2024 16:00 |
 Bayer Leverkusen1.67 |
X 4.00 |
AC Milan  4.65 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Bayer Leverkusen x AC Milan:
๐ฎ Bayer Leverkusen wins the match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Bayer Leverkusen, you can win up to $835.00!
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Important information for your tip for Bayer Leverkusen x AC Milan: ๐ If you had bet $100 on Bayer Leverkusen in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-253.0. |
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Analysis from Bayer Leverkusen x AC Milan for the UEFA Champions League – 1 of October
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๐๏ธ Bayer Leverkusen X AC Milan – UEFA Champions League |
When the best bet on Bayer Leverkusen x AC Milan is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1192611 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Bayer Leverkusen x AC Milan
Is it worth betting on Bayer Leverkusen?
๐ต Bayer Leverkusen: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 78.28%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.67. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 780 times – having a profit of $522.60;
- And would lose other 220 times – losing -$220.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐ฐ$302.60.
Is betting on draw worth it?
โช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 6.84% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 70 times – this would give you a profit of $210.00
- And would have lost other 930 times – with a loss of -$930.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐ฐ-$720.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on AC Milan?
๐ด AC Milan: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 14.88%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.65. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 150 times – this would give you a profit of $547.50
- And would lose other 850 times – losing -$850.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐ฐ-$302.50.
Handicaps analysis for the match Bayer Leverkusen x AC Milan
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
โ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Bayer Leverkusen
โฝ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Bayer Leverkusen x AC Milan
โ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.0 Bayer Leverkusen, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 Bayer Leverkusen.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Bayer Leverkusen x AC Milan
โฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.
