Benfica x Atletico Madrid Betting tips for October 2 in UEFA Champions League

Our betting tip for Benfica x Atletico Madrid, Wednesday, 2/10/2024

📅 2/10/2024 16:00

Benfica 2.90

X 3.30

Atletico Madrid 2.40

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Benfica x Atletico Madrid:

🔮 Atletico Madrid wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Atletico Madrid, you can win up to $1200.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Some important points for the tip for Benfica x Atletico Madrid: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Benfica in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-14.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Atletico Madrid in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $61.0. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Benfica scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Atletico Madrid scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Atletico Madrid matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 Benfica is good playing home: it has 4 wins in a row in its last matches at home. 👉 In the last 8 road matches, Atletico Madrid has not lost any of them.

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Benfica x Atletico Madrid?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Benfica x Atletico Madrid:

Analysis from Benfica x Atletico Madrid for the UEFA Champions League – 2 of October

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Benfica and Atletico Madrid.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1193870 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Benfica x Atletico Madrid

Should you bet on Benfica?

🔵 Benfica: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 32.95% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.90. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 330 times – having a profit of $627.00;
• And would lose other 670 times – having a loss of -$670.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$43.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 17.99% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 180 times – having a profit of $414.00;
• And would lose other 820 times – losing -$820.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$406.00.

Should you bet on Atletico Madrid?

🔴 Atletico Madrid: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 49.06% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 490 times – having a profit of $686.00;
• And would lose other 510 times – having a loss of -$510.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$176.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Benfica x Atletico Madrid

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Benfica
⚽ Expected goals: 3.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Benfica x Atletico Madrid

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Benfica and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Benfica.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.25 Benfica.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Benfica x Atletico Madrid

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 1.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.