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Home ยป Predictions ยป Champions League ยป FC Salzburg x Brest Betting tips for October 1 in UEFA Champions League
Tuesday, 01 October 2024, 13h45 UEFA Champions League
FC Salzburg FC Salzburg
PREDICTION FC Salzburg wins Probability 75% 1 X 2
Brest Brest
ODD: @1.8 Don't miss this prediction!

FC Salzburg x Brest Betting tips for October 1 in UEFA Champions League

Our betting tip for FC Salzburg x Brest, Tuesday, 1/10/2024
๐Ÿ“… 1/10/2024
13:45
FC Salzburg FC Salzburg
1.80
X
3.80
Brest Brest
4.20

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for FC Salzburg x Brest:

๐Ÿ”ฎ FC Salzburg wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on FC Salzburg, you can win up to $900.00!

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Important information for your tip for FC Salzburg x Brest:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on FC Salzburg in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $78.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Brest in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the home team, FC Salzburg scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the away team, Brest conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ It is not a good time for Brest as away team: it comes from 4 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on FC Salzburg x Brest?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on FC Salzburg x Brest, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from FC Salzburg x Brest for the UEFA Champions League – 1 of October

๐ŸŸ๏ธ FC Salzburg X Brest – UEFA Champions League
๐Ÿ“… 1 of October, 2024 – 13:45
๐Ÿ”ต FC Salzburg – Winning probability: 75.67% | Fair line: 1.32
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 12.11% | Fair line: 8.26
๐Ÿ”ด Brest – Winning probability: 12.22% | Fair line: 8.18
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 FC Salzburg
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for FC Salzburg x Brest right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1192611 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for FC Salzburg x Brest

Should you bet on FC Salzburg?

๐Ÿ”ต FC Salzburg: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 75.67% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.80. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 760 times – profiting $608.00;
  • And would have lost other 240 times – with a loss of -$240.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$368.00.

Should you bet on draw?

โšช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 12.11%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.80. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 120 times – profiting $336.00;
  • And would have lost other 880 times – with a loss of -$880.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$544.00.

Is betting on Brest worth it?

๐Ÿ”ด Brest: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 12.22%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 120 times – having a profit of $384.00;
  • And would lose other 880 times – having a loss of -$880.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$496.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match FC Salzburg x Brest

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 FC Salzburg
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for FC Salzburg x Brest

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 FC Salzburg, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 FC Salzburg.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 FC Salzburg.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for FC Salzburg x Brest

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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