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Home » Predictions » Champions League » Inter Milan x Crvena Zvezda Betting tips for October 1 in UEFA Champions League
Tuesday, 01 October 2024, 16h00 UEFA Champions League
Inter Milan Inter Milan
PREDICTION Inter Milan wins Probability 99% 1 X 2
Crvena Zvezda Crvena Zvezda
ODD: @1.16 Don't miss this prediction!

Inter Milan x Crvena Zvezda Betting tips for October 1 in UEFA Champions League

Our betting tip for Inter Milan x Crvena Zvezda, Tuesday, 1/10/2024
📅 1/10/2024
16:00
Inter Milan Inter Milan
1.16
X
7.72
Crvena Zvezda Crvena Zvezda
14.25

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Inter Milan x Crvena Zvezda:

🔮 Inter Milan wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Inter Milan, you can win up to $580.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Inter Milan x Crvena Zvezda:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Inter Milan in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-70.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Crvena Zvezda in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $23.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Inter Milan scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Crvena Zvezda scored at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Inter Milan x Crvena Zvezda for the UEFA Champions League – 1 of October

🏟️ Inter Milan X Crvena Zvezda – UEFA Champions League
📅 1 of October, 2024 – 16:00
🔵 Inter Milan – Winning probability: 99.13% | Fair line: 1.01
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 0.61% | Fair line: 164.11
🔴 Crvena Zvezda – Winning probability: 0.26% | Fair line: 385.58
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -2.25 Inter Milan
⚽ Expected goals: 4.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Inter Milan x Crvena Zvezda right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1192611 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Inter Milan x Crvena Zvezda

Should you bet on Inter Milan?

🔵 Inter Milan: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 99.13% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.16. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 990 times – this would give you a profit of $158.40
  • And would have lost other 10 times – with a loss of -$10.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$148.40.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 0.61%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 7.72. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 10 times – profiting $67.20;
  • And would have lost other 990 times – with a loss of -$990.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$922.80.

Should you bet on Crvena Zvezda?

🔴 Crvena Zvezda: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 0.26%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 14.25. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 0 times – this would give you a profit of $0.00
  • And would lose other 1000 times – having a loss of -$1000.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$1000.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Inter Milan x Crvena Zvezda

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -2.25 Inter Milan
⚽ Expected goals: 4.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Inter Milan x Crvena Zvezda

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -2.25 Inter Milan and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -2.25 Inter Milan. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Inter Milan x Crvena Zvezda

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 4.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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