Lille x Borussia Dortmund Betting tips for March 12 in UEFA Champions League
| 📅 12/3/2025 17:45 |
 Lille2.65 |
X 3.45 |
Borussia Dortmund  2.50 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Lille x Borussia Dortmund:
🔮 Borussia Dortmund wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Borussia Dortmund, you can win up to $1250.00!
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The main points for the tip for Lille x Borussia Dortmund: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Lille in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-5.0. |
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Analysis from Lille x Borussia Dortmund for the UEFA Champions League – 12 of March
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🏟️ Lille X Borussia Dortmund – UEFA Champions League |
When the best bet on Lille x Borussia Dortmund is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1280306 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Lille x Borussia Dortmund
Is it a good idea to bet on Lille?
🔵 Lille: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 34.63% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.65. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 350 times – profiting $577.50;
- And would lose other 650 times – having a loss of -$650.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$72.50.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 21.11%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.45. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 210 times – profiting $514.50;
- And would lose other 790 times – losing -$790.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$275.50.
Is it worth betting on Borussia Dortmund?
🔴 Borussia Dortmund: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 44.27%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 440 times – this would give you a profit of $660.00
- And would have lost other 560 times – with a loss of -$560.00 because of them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$100.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Lille x Borussia Dortmund
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Lille
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Lille x Borussia Dortmund
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Lille, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Lille.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Lille x Borussia Dortmund
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.
