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Home » Predictions » Champions League » Liverpool x Bologna Betting tips for October 2 in UEFA Champions League
Wednesday, 02 October 2024, 16h00 UEFA Champions League
Liverpool Liverpool
PREDICTION Liverpool wins Probability 98% 1 X 2
Bologna Bologna
ODD: @1.2 Don't miss this prediction!

Liverpool x Bologna Betting tips for October 2 in UEFA Champions League

Our betting tip for Liverpool x Bologna, Wednesday, 2/10/2024
📅 2/10/2024
16:00
Liverpool Liverpool
1.20
X
7.00
Bologna Bologna
13.00

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Liverpool x Bologna:

🔮 Liverpool wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Liverpool, you can win up to $600.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Liverpool x Bologna:

👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Liverpool scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Bologna matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Bologna conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Liverpool is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on Liverpool x Bologna?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Liverpool x Bologna, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Liverpool x Bologna for the UEFA Champions League – 2 of October

🏟️ Liverpool X Bologna – UEFA Champions League
📅 2 of October, 2024 – 16:00
🔵 Liverpool – Winning probability: 98.42% | Fair line: 1.02
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 1.05% | Fair line: 95.31
🔴 Bologna – Winning probability: 0.53% | Fair line: 187.1
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -2.5 Liverpool
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Liverpool and Bologna.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1193870 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Liverpool x Bologna

Is it worth betting on Liverpool?

🔵 Liverpool: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 98.42%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 980 times – this would give you a profit of $196.00
  • And would lose other 20 times – having a loss of -$20.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$176.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 1.05%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 7.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 10 times – this would give you a profit of $60.00
  • And would lose other 990 times – losing -$990.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$930.00.

Is betting on Bologna worth it?

🔴 Bologna: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 0.53% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 13.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 10 times – this would give you a profit of $120.00
  • And would have lost other 990 times – with a loss of -$990.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$870.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Liverpool x Bologna

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -2.5 Liverpool
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Liverpool x Bologna

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -2.5 Liverpool, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -2.0 Liverpool.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -2.0 Liverpool.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Liverpool x Bologna

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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