Liverpool x PSG Betting tips for March 11 in UEFA Champions League

Our betting tip for Liverpool x PSG, Tuesday, 11/3/2025

📅 11/3/2025 20:00

Liverpool 1.94

X 4.00

PSG 3.46

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Liverpool x PSG:

🔮 PSG wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on PSG, you can win up to $1730.00!

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Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Important information for your tip for Liverpool x PSG: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Liverpool in each of its last 4 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $98.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on PSG in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $219.0. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Liverpool scored at least 2 goal(s). 👉 In the last 9 matches as the away team, PSG scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 PSG matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 Liverpool is good playing home: it has 4 wins in a row in its last matches at home. 👉 PSG is hard to beat as a visitor: it has 9 wins in a row in its last road matches.

Looking for another bookie to bet on Liverpool x PSG?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2025. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Liverpool x PSG for the UEFA Champions League – 11 of March

When the best bet on Liverpool x PSG is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1279005 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Liverpool x PSG

Is it worth betting on Liverpool?

🔵 Liverpool: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 43.94% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.94. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 440 times – having a profit of $413.60;
• And would lose other 560 times – having a loss of -$560.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$146.40.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 18.66% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 190 times – profiting $570.00;
• And would lose other 810 times – having a loss of -$810.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$240.00.

Should you bet on PSG?

🔴 PSG: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 37.4% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.46. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 370 times – having a profit of $910.20;
• And would lose other 630 times – having a loss of -$630.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$280.20.

Handicaps analysis for the match Liverpool x PSG

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Liverpool
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Liverpool x PSG

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Liverpool and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Liverpool.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 PSG.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Liverpool x PSG

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.