Olympiacos x PSV Betting tips for November 4 in UEFA Champions League

Our betting tip for Olympiacos x PSV, Tuesday, 4/11/2025

📅 4/11/2025 20:00

Olympiacos 2.25

X 3.50

PSV 2.85

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Olympiacos x PSV:

🔮 Olympiacos wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Olympiacos, you can win up to $1125.00!

🔮 PSV wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on PSV, you can win up to $1425.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Important information for your tip for Olympiacos x PSV:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Olympiacos in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $41.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on PSV in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $225.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Olympiacos scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, PSV scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Olympiacos is good playing home: it has 4 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
👉 In the last 6 road matches, PSV has not lost any of them.

🤖 ChatGPT’s take on our prediction for Olympiacos vs PSV:

⚽ The match between Olympiacos and PSV at Karaiskakis Stadium is expected to be quite balanced, but with a slight advantage for the visiting team. Looking at recent statistics, Olympiacos performs very well at home, scoring an average of 2 goals per game and conceding only 1. PSV, on the other hand, has a stronger away attack, with an average of 3 goals scored and good ball possession (57%). The median odds indicate a slight preference for Olympiacos (2.24), but after normalizing the implied probabilities and analyzing the data, I see that the fair chance for Olympiacos to win is about 40%, a draw around 28%, and PSV to win approximately 32%. This suggests that fair odds for the home team’s victory should be close to 2.5, a draw around 3.6, and an away win near 3.1.

📈 In the European league table, Olympiacos is facing difficulties in the Champions League with only one point so far and heavy defeats against strong teams like Barcelona and Arsenal. This could negatively impact their morale for this important game against PSV, which is on a positive streak in Eredivisie with five consecutive wins—including blowouts—increasing their confidence.

📰 The news reinforces this view: while Olympiacos struggles to recover from a poor phase in Europe, still experiencing some fluctuations in the Greek national championship; PSV is in a very positive moment both on and off the field, including planning stadium expansion due to recent success.

Analyzing the expected values calculated by the Clube da Aposta model (positive EV only for the home team’s victory), I believe it underestimates PSV’s current strength away considering their potent attack and good ball control. My suggestion is to be cautious when betting on Olympiacos even at home; there is potential value in a double chance bet or even a simple bet on PSV to win or draw + away victory given their superior form.

In summary: despite the final odds slightly favoring the home win (2.5), my analysis indicates that the real chances are more balanced between the two teams due to their different current phases—so I would bet on a market where you can take advantage of this balance as “draw or away” seeking value above +5% EV.

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Olympiacos x PSV?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2025, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Olympiacos x PSV:

Analysis from Olympiacos x PSV for the UEFA Champions League – 4 of November

When the best bet on Olympiacos x PSV is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1431844 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Latest news about Olympiacos x PSV

Olympiacos: The 2025-26 season for Olympiacos has been marked by a tough campaign in Europe and inconsistent performance domestically. The Greek giants have managed only one point in the Champions League after a draw with Pafos and have already conceded eight goals, highlighted by the humiliating 6-1 defeat to Barcelona and a heavy loss to Arsenal. In the national league, a 2-0 defeat to PAOK and a 2-0 victory over AEK illustrate their unstable performances. The team will host Real Madrid at Georgios Karaiskakis Stadium on November 26, 2025. Regarding the squad, midfielder Santiago Hezze has been a starter in several matches both in the league and European competitions, while midfielder Christos Mouzakitis has mostly played as a substitute.

PSV Eindhoven: PSV Eindhoven has been in excellent form in the Eredivisie, with a 5-2 home win over Fortuna Sittard, extending their winning streak to five across all competitions and preparing the team for the Champions League clash against Olympiacos. An Ismael Saibari hat-trick helped the champions beat Feyenoord 3-2, tying them at the top of the table. Off the field, the club secured approval from the Eindhoven council to increase the capacity of the Philips Stadium by at least 10,000 seats, with construction scheduled to begin in 2027, strengthening their ambitions on and off the pitch.

Table analysis for the game between Olympiacos and PSV

Olympiacos: For Olympiacos, which is in 33rd place with only 1 point and a negative goal difference of -7, this match is crucial. The team has not won yet and is fighting to move away from the bottom positions. A victory could be important to boost morale and try to climb the table, even though qualification for the next stages seems very distant. Therefore, every point gained is valuable to avoid relegation or at least improve their situation in the championship.

PSV: PSV is in 16th place, with 4 points and a positive goal difference of 2. Although not among the leaders, the team still has chances to advance to the playoff stages and improve their position. This match against a direct opponent in the lower part of the table is an important opportunity to earn points and distance themselves from the bottom, seeking greater security in the competition.

Summary: The game is important for both teams: Olympiacos needs a win to try to escape the risk zone, while PSV fights to solidify their position and secure qualification for the playoffs. The contest promises to be intense and decisive for both clubs ambitions. ⚽🔥

Tips for the 1×2 market for Olympiacos x PSV

Is betting on Olympiacos worth it?

🔵 Olympiacos: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 43.55% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.25. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 440 times – profiting $550.00;
• And would lose other 560 times – losing -$560.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$10.00.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 16.29% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 160 times – profiting $400.00;
• And would have lost other 840 times – with a loss of -$840.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$440.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on PSV?

🔴 PSV: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 40.16%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.85. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 400 times – profiting $740.00;
• And would have lost other 600 times – with a loss of -$600.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$140.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Olympiacos x PSV

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Olympiacos
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Olympiacos x PSV

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Olympiacos, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Olympiacos.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 PSV.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Olympiacos x PSV

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.