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Home Β» Predictions Β» Champions League Β» Slovan Bratislava x Manchester City Betting tips for October 1 in UEFA Champions League
Tuesday, 01 October 2024, 16h00 UEFA Champions League
Slovan Bratislava Slovan Bratislava
PREDICTION No tip
Manchester City Manchester City
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Slovan Bratislava x Manchester City Betting tips for October 1 in UEFA Champions League

Our betting tip for Slovan Bratislava x Manchester City, Tuesday, 1/10/2024
πŸ“… 1/10/2024
16:00
Slovan Bratislava Slovan Bratislava
20.50
X
11.00
Manchester City Manchester City
1.06

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Slovan Bratislava x Manchester City:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Slovan Bratislava x Manchester City

The main points for the tip for Slovan Bratislava x Manchester City:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Slovan Bratislava in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $296.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Manchester City in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-171.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 Slovan Bratislava matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team, Slovan Bratislava conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 7 road matches, Manchester City has not lost any of them.

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Summary

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Analysis from Slovan Bratislava x Manchester City for the UEFA Champions League – 1 of October

🏟️ Slovan Bratislava X Manchester City – UEFA Champions League
πŸ“… 1 of October, 2024 – 16:00
πŸ”΅ Slovan Bratislava – Winning probability: 0.01% | Fair line: 12863.27
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 0.01% | Fair line: 11740.71
πŸ”΄ Manchester City – Winning probability: 99.98% | Fair line: 1.0
βš– Handicap 1×2: +2.5 Slovan Bratislava
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Slovan Bratislava x Manchester City right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1192611 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Slovan Bratislava x Manchester City

Is betting on Slovan Bratislava worth it?

πŸ”΅ Slovan Bratislava: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 0.01% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 20.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 0 times – having a profit of $0.00;
  • And would lose other 1000 times – having a loss of -$1000.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$1000.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

βšͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 0.01%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 11.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 0 times – profiting $0.00;
  • And would lose other 1000 times – losing -$1000.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$1000.00.

Is it worth betting on Manchester City?

πŸ”΄ Manchester City: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 99.98% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.06. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 1000 times – profiting $60.00;
  • And would lose other 0 times – losing -$0.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just πŸ’°$60.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

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Handicaps analysis for the match Slovan Bratislava x Manchester City

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

βš– Handicap 1×2: +2.5 Slovan Bratislava
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Slovan Bratislava x Manchester City

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +2.5 Slovan Bratislava and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +2.75 Slovan Bratislava.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +2.75 Slovan Bratislava.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Slovan Bratislava x Manchester City

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.75 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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