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Home ยป Predictions ยป Champions League ยป VfB Stuttgart x Sparta Prague Betting tips for October 1 in UEFA Champions League
Tuesday, 01 October 2024, 13h45 UEFA Champions League
VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart
PREDICTION VfB Stuttgart wins Probability 80% 1 X 2
Sparta Prague Sparta Prague
ODD: @1.5 Don't miss this prediction!

VfB Stuttgart x Sparta Prague Betting tips for October 1 in UEFA Champions League

Our betting tip for VfB Stuttgart x Sparta Prague, Tuesday, 1/10/2024
๐Ÿ“… 1/10/2024
13:45
VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart
1.50
X
4.60
Sparta Prague Sparta Prague
5.80

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for VfB Stuttgart x Sparta Prague:

๐Ÿ”ฎ VfB Stuttgart wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on VfB Stuttgart, you can win up to $750.00!

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Important information for your tip for VfB Stuttgart x Sparta Prague:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on VfB Stuttgart in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $233.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Sparta Prague in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $480.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Sparta Prague did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as away team.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team, VfB Stuttgart scored at least 3 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 8 matches as the away team, Sparta Prague scored at least 2 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 Sparta Prague matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 VfB Stuttgart matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team, VfB Stuttgart conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ Sparta Prague is hard to beat as a visitor: it has 8 wins in a row in its last road matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from VfB Stuttgart x Sparta Prague for the UEFA Champions League – 1 of October

๐ŸŸ๏ธ VfB Stuttgart X Sparta Prague – UEFA Champions League
๐Ÿ“… 1 of October, 2024 – 13:45
๐Ÿ”ต VfB Stuttgart – Winning probability: 80.84% | Fair line: 1.24
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 8.31% | Fair line: 12.03
๐Ÿ”ด Sparta Prague – Winning probability: 10.84% | Fair line: 9.22
โš– Handicap 1×2: -1.25 VfB Stuttgart
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.75 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between VfB Stuttgart and Sparta Prague.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1192611 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for VfB Stuttgart x Sparta Prague

Is betting on VfB Stuttgart worth it?

๐Ÿ”ต VfB Stuttgart: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 80.84% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 810 times – this would give you a profit of $405.00
  • And would lose other 190 times – losing -$190.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$215.00.

Should you bet on draw?

โšช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 8.31%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 80 times – having a profit of $288.00;
  • And would lose other 920 times – having a loss of -$920.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$632.00.

Is betting on Sparta Prague worth it?

๐Ÿ”ด Sparta Prague: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 10.84% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.80. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 110 times – this would give you a profit of $528.00
  • And would have lost other 890 times – with a loss of -$890.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$362.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match VfB Stuttgart x Sparta Prague

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -1.25 VfB Stuttgart
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for VfB Stuttgart x Sparta Prague

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.25 VfB Stuttgart and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.25 VfB Stuttgart.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for VfB Stuttgart x Sparta Prague

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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