Cruz Azul x Tijuana Betting tips for December 1 in Mexico Liga MX
📅 1/12/2024 01:10 |
Cruz Azul 1.35 |
X 4.90 |
Tijuana 8.50 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Cruz Azul x Tijuana:
🔮 Cruz Azul wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Cruz Azul, you can win up to $675.00!
The main points for the tip for Cruz Azul x Tijuana: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Cruz Azul in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $61.0. |
Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Cruz Azul x Tijuana?
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Analysis from Cruz Azul x Tijuana for the Mexico Liga MX – 1 of December
🏟️ Cruz Azul X Tijuana – Mexico Liga MX |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Cruz Azul x Tijuana right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1230061 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Cruz Azul x Tijuana
Is betting on Cruz Azul worth it?
🔵 Cruz Azul: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 94.34%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.35. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 940 times – having a profit of $329.00;
- And would have lost other 60 times – with a loss of -$60.00 because of them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$269.00.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 3.56% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.90. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 40 times – this would give you a profit of $156.00
- And would lose other 960 times – having a loss of -$960.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$804.00.
Is betting on Tijuana worth it?
🔴 Tijuana: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 2.1% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 8.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 20 times – having a profit of $150.00;
- And would lose other 980 times – losing -$980.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$830.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Cruz Azul x Tijuana
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Cruz Azul
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Cruz Azul x Tijuana
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.5 Cruz Azul, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.25 Cruz Azul.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.25 Cruz Azul.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Cruz Azul x Tijuana
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.