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Home » Predictions » Cruz Azul x Tijuana Betting tips for December 1 in Mexico Liga MX
Sunday, 01 December 2024, 01h10 Mexico Liga MX
Cruz Azul Cruz Azul
PREDICTION Cruz Azul wins Probability 94% 1 X 2
Tijuana Tijuana
ODD: @1.35 Don't miss this prediction!

Cruz Azul x Tijuana Betting tips for December 1 in Mexico Liga MX

Our betting tip for Cruz Azul x Tijuana, Sunday, 1/12/2024
📅 1/12/2024
01:10
Cruz Azul Cruz Azul
1.35
X
4.90
Tijuana Tijuana
8.50

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Cruz Azul x Tijuana:

🔮 Cruz Azul wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Cruz Azul, you can win up to $675.00!

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The main points for the tip for Cruz Azul x Tijuana:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Cruz Azul in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $61.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Tijuana in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $25.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Cruz Azul scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Tijuana, Cruz Azul scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 road matches, Tijuana has not lost any of them.

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Cruz Azul x Tijuana?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Cruz Azul x Tijuana:

Analysis from Cruz Azul x Tijuana for the Mexico Liga MX – 1 of December

🏟️ Cruz Azul X Tijuana – Mexico Liga MX
📅 1 of December, 2024 – 01:10
🔵 Cruz Azul – Winning probability: 94.34% | Fair line: 1.06
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 3.56% | Fair line: 28.09
🔴 Tijuana – Winning probability: 2.10% | Fair line: 47.58
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Cruz Azul
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Cruz Azul x Tijuana right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1230061 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Cruz Azul x Tijuana

Is betting on Cruz Azul worth it?

🔵 Cruz Azul: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 94.34%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.35. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 940 times – having a profit of $329.00;
  • And would have lost other 60 times – with a loss of -$60.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$269.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 3.56% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.90. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 40 times – this would give you a profit of $156.00
  • And would lose other 960 times – having a loss of -$960.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$804.00.

Is betting on Tijuana worth it?

🔴 Tijuana: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 2.1% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 8.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 20 times – having a profit of $150.00;
  • And would lose other 980 times – losing -$980.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$830.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Cruz Azul x Tijuana

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Cruz Azul
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Cruz Azul x Tijuana

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.5 Cruz Azul, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.25 Cruz Azul.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.25 Cruz Azul.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Cruz Azul x Tijuana

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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