📊 Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for Brighton x Brentford
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Analysis from Brighton x Brentford for the England Premier League – 26 of December
🏟️ Brighton X Brentford – England Premier League
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Brighton and Brentford.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 281997 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Brighton x Brentford
Is it worth betting on Brighton?
🔵 Brighton: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 63.62%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.91. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 640 times – having a profit of $582.40;
- And would have lost other 360 times – with a loss of -$360.00 because of them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$222.40.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 21.55% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.42. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 220 times – profiting $533.50;
- And would have lost other 780 times – with a loss of -$780.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$246.50.
Is it worth betting on Brentford?
🔴 Brentford: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 14.82%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 150 times – this would give you a profit of $450.00
- And would have lost other 850 times – with a loss of -$850.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$400.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Brighton x Brentford
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Going ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Brighton
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the market Handicap 1×2 for Brighton x Brentford
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Brighton and the available handicap to bet at that moment is -0.5 Brighton.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Brighton.
Tips for the market Goals Handicap for Brighton x Brentford
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at that moment is 2.25 goals.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicapmarket.
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves