📊 Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for Burnley x Leicester
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Analysis from Burnley x Leicester for the England Premier League – 15 of January
🏟️ Burnley X Leicester – England Premier League
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Burnley and Leicester.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 287992 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Burnley x Leicester
Is it a good idea to bet on Burnley?
🔵 Burnley: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 31.23%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.05. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 310 times – this would give you a profit of $635.50
- And would lose other 690 times – having a loss of -$690.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$54.50.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 19.23% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 190 times – profiting $456.00;
- And would have lost other 810 times – with a loss of -$810.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$354.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on Leicester?
🔴 Leicester: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 49.54% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.26. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 500 times – having a profit of $630.50;
- And would have lost other 500 times – with a loss of -$500.00 because of them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$130.50.
Handicaps analysis for the match Burnley x Leicester
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Burnley
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Burnley x Leicester
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 Burnley and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Burnley.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Leicester.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Burnley x Leicester
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.50 goals.
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves