Chelsea x Aston Villa Betting tips for December 1 in England Premier League
| 📅 1/12/2024 13:30 |
 Chelsea1.81 |
X 4.00 |
Aston Villa  3.90 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Chelsea x Aston Villa:
🔮 Chelsea wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Chelsea, you can win up to $905.00!
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The main points for the tip for Chelsea x Aston Villa: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Aston Villa in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-200.0. |
Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Chelsea x Aston Villa?
If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Chelsea x Aston Villa, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:
Analysis from Chelsea x Aston Villa for the England Premier League – 1 of December
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🏟️ Chelsea X Aston Villa – England Premier League |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Chelsea and Aston Villa.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1230121 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Chelsea x Aston Villa
Is betting on Chelsea worth it?
🔵 Chelsea: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 68.35% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.81. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 680 times – this would give you a profit of $550.80
- And would lose other 320 times – losing -$320.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$230.80.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 19.93% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 200 times – having a profit of $600.00;
- And would have lost other 800 times – with a loss of -$800.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$200.00.
Is it worth betting on Aston Villa?
🔴 Aston Villa: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 11.72% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.90. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 120 times – profiting $348.00;
- And would have lost other 880 times – with a loss of -$880.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$532.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Chelsea x Aston Villa
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Chelsea
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Chelsea x Aston Villa
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.25 Chelsea, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Chelsea.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.75, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Chelsea.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Chelsea x Aston Villa
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.25 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.25 goals.
