Ipswich x Aston Villa Betting tips for September 29 in England Premier League
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29/9/2024 10:00 |
 Ipswich4.00 |
X 3.70 |
Aston Villa  1.88 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Ipswich x Aston Villa:
๐ฎ Ipswich wins the match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Ipswich, you can win up to $2000.00!
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Important information for your tip for Ipswich x Aston Villa: ๐ If you had bet $100 on Aston Villa in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $265.0. |
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Analysis from Ipswich x Aston Villa for the England Premier League – 29 of September
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๐๏ธ Ipswich X Aston Villa – England Premier League |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Ipswich x Aston Villa right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1190630 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Ipswich x Aston Villa
Is it a good idea to bet on Ipswich?
๐ต Ipswich: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 29.19% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 290 times – having a profit of $870.00;
- And would lose other 710 times – having a loss of -$710.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐ฐ$160.00.
Should you bet on draw?
โช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 18.93%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.70. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 190 times – having a profit of $513.00;
- And would lose other 810 times – having a loss of -$810.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐ฐ-$297.00.
Is it worth betting on Aston Villa?
๐ด Aston Villa: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 51.87%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.88. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 520 times – having a profit of $457.60;
- And would lose other 480 times – losing -$480.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$22.40.
Handicaps analysis for the match Ipswich x Aston Villa
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
โ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Ipswich
โฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Ipswich x Aston Villa
โ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 Ipswich, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.5 Ipswich.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Ipswich x Aston Villa
โฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.
