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19/1/2022 19:30 |
 Leicester2.95 |
X 3.40 |
Tottenham  2.38 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Leicester x Tottenham:
๐ฎ Tottenham wins the match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Tottenham, you can win up to $1190.00!
๐ Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for Leicester x Tottenham
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Analysis from Leicester x Tottenham for the England Premier League – 19 of January
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๐๏ธ Leicester X Tottenham – England Premier League |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Leicester x Tottenham right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 289909 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Leicester x Tottenham
Is betting on Leicester worth it?
๐ต Leicester: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 14.73%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.95. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 150 times – this would give you a profit of $292.50
- And would have lost other 850 times – with a loss of -$850.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$557.50.
Is it worth betting on draw?
โช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 25.42% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 250 times – this would give you a profit of $600.00
- And would lose other 750 times – losing -$750.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$150.00.
Is betting on Tottenham worth it?
๐ด Tottenham: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 59.85% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.38. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 600 times – this would give you a profit of $828.00
- And would have lost other 400 times – with a loss of -$400.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐ฐ$428.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Leicester x Tottenham
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
โ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Leicester
โฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Leicester x Tottenham
โ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Leicester, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Leicester.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.25 Leicester.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Leicester x Tottenham
โฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.75 goals.
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Written by
Humberto Alves
Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.
> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
