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Man City x Leicester Betting tips for December 26 in England Premier League

Our betting tip for Man City x Leicester, Sunday, 26/12/2021
๐Ÿ“… 26/12/2021
15:00
Man City
1.21
X
6.54
Leicester
12.00

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Man City x Leicester:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Man City wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Man City, you can win up to $605.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for Man City x Leicester

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Man City x Leicester?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best bookies from 2021, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Man City x Leicester:

Analysis from Man City x Leicester for the England Premier League – 26 of December

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Man City X Leicester – England Premier League
๐Ÿ“… 26 of December, 2021 – 15:00
๐Ÿ”ต Man City – Winning probability: 97.82% | Fair line: 1.02
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 1.30% | Fair line: 76.69
๐Ÿ”ด Leicester – Winning probability: 0.88% | Fair line: 113.75
โš– Handicap 1×2: -1.75 Man City
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Man City x Leicesterright, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 281997 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Man City x Leicester

Should you bet on Man City?

๐Ÿ”ต Man City: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 97.82% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.21. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 980 times – having a profit of $205.80;
  • And would have lost other 20 times – with a loss of -$20.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$185.80.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

โšช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 1.3% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 6.54. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 10 times – this would give you a profit of $55.45
  • And would lose other 990 times – losing -$990.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$934.55.

Is it a good idea to bet on Leicester?

๐Ÿ”ด Leicester: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 0.88% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 12.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 10 times – having a profit of $110.00;
  • And would lose other 990 times – losing -$990.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$880.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Man City x Leicester

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -1.75 Man City
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the market Handicap 1×2 for Man City x Leicester

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.75 Man City and the available handicap to bet at that moment is -1.75 Man City.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies nand the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2market.

Tips for the market Goals Handicap for Man City x Leicester

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at that moment is 3.25 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies nand the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicapmarket.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Our tips are also on YouTube

Besides the artificial intelligence that you have here, our sporting bets experts are on YouTube searching for the best bets for Sunday. Right above you can check our last analysis and be a part of the community by subscribing on our betting tips channel on YouTube.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves