📊 You can also check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Man Utd x West Ham
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Analysis from Man Utd x West Ham for the England Premier League – 22 of January
🏟️ Man Utd X West Ham – England Premier League
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Man Utd x West Ham right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 290605 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Man Utd x West Ham
Should you bet on Man Utd?
🔵 Man Utd: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 59.66%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.83. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 600 times – having a profit of $498.00;
- And would lose other 400 times – having a loss of -$400.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$98.00.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 20.12% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.75. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 200 times – having a profit of $550.00;
- And would lose other 800 times – having a loss of -$800.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$250.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on West Ham?
🔴 West Ham: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 20.22% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.90. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 200 times – having a profit of $580.00;
- And would lose other 800 times – losing -$800.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$220.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Man Utd x West Ham
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Man Utd
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Man Utd x West Ham
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Man Utd and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Man Utd.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Man Utd x West Ham
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.75 goals.
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves