Manchester City x Liverpool Betting tips for November 9 in England Premier League

Our betting tip for Manchester City x Liverpool, Sunday, 9/11/2025

📅 9/11/2025 16:30

Manchester City 1.90

X 3.90

Liverpool 3.60

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Manchester City x Liverpool:

🔮 Manchester City wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Manchester City, you can win up to $950.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Manchester City x Liverpool:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Manchester City in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $212.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Liverpool in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-343.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Manchester City scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Liverpool scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Liverpool matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Liverpool conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Manchester City conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Liverpool.
👉 Manchester City is good playing home: it has 6 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

🤖 ChatGPT analysis on the prediction for Manchester City vs Liverpool:

⚽ The match between Manchester City and Liverpool at Etihad Stadium promises to be electrifying! Analyzing recent statistics, Manchester City is in an impressive form, with 5 wins out of 5 home games in the Premier League, averaging 3.2 goals per match and conceding only 0.6 goals. Additionally, they dominate possession (62%) and shots on target (19 per game), showing a devastating attack and solid defense.

On the other hand, Liverpool has been struggling away from home, with only 1 win in the last 5 away league matches and conceding many goals (an average of nearly 2 per game). Despite this, their recent dramatic victory against Real Madrid in the Champions League could give a significant moral boost for this duel.

📈 In the Premier League table, Manchester City is just behind Arsenal in the title race after a strong start to the season. This position emphasizes the need for City to keep their winning rhythm at home to avoid losing ground. Liverpool, meanwhile, seeks to recover from recent fluctuations to return to the top.

📰 News highlights that Phil Foden has returned to peak form at Manchester City and Haaland remains the league’s top scorer — factors that further increase the offensive strength of the Citizens at Etihad. At Liverpool, recent tactical changes and defensive reinforcements indicate attempts to improve away results.

Analyzing the median odds: Manchester City win (1.91), draw (3.9), Liverpool win (3.6), with approximate normalized implied probabilities: Manchester City ~50%, draw ~24%, Liverpool ~26%. Considering the offensive/defensive stats of the teams combined with current motivational news, my fair estimate would be around:

• Manchester City Win: ~55%
• Draw: ~22%
• Liverpool Win: ~23%

Thus, fair odds would be approximately: Manchester City @1.82 | Draw @4.55 | Liverpool @4.35

The comparison with the Bets Kenya model shows it overestimates the odds for a draw (@5.45) and the away win (@5), suggesting high value only on the bet for the home win with a positive EV (~17%). I fully agree with this indication! The current form of the teams combined with Manchester City’s traditionally strong home advantage at Etihad clearly favors the Citizens here.

Recommended Bet 🎯: Manchester City Win, as it presents a positive expected value above 15% based on our cross-statistics calculation, current team context, and available odds analysis.

Overall, it’s a balanced classic but with data pointing to a clear favoritism for the home team at this moment!

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Manchester City x Liverpool?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2025, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Manchester City x Liverpool:

Analysis from Manchester City x Liverpool for the England Premier League – 9 of November

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Manchester City x Liverpool right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1434498 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Latest news on Manchester City x Liverpool

Manchester City: Manchester City maintained a strong start in the 2025-26 season, holding second place in the Premier League, six points behind leaders Arsenal after ten matches, and secured a 3-1 victory over Bournemouth, marking their fourth win in five league games; in the Champions League, they delivered a dominant performance at Etihad, beating Borussia Dortmund 4-1, with Phil Foden scoring two goals and being named the man of the match, while Erling Haaland added his 18th league goal of the season. Pep Guardiola praised the teams energy in the title race, comparing Haalands impact to Lionel Messi and confirming that forward Phil Foden has returned to his best form.

Liverpool: Liverpool was in the spotlight this week for several key developments: Arne Slots team secured a dramatic 1-0 victory in the Champions League against Real Madrid at Anfield, with Alexis Mac Allisters header in the second half ending a four-match losing streak in the Premier League and prompting captain Virgil van Dijk to confront former player Wayne Rooney over criticism of his leadership in the post-match interview; Slot also made a single tactical change, substituting Cody Gakpo for Florian Wirtz on the left wing, while right-back Conor Bradley received praise for his performance against Vinícius Júnior. Off the field, Liverpool finalized a £26 million deal (plus add-ons) for Parmas young defender Giovanni Leoni, and the clubs transfer activity has already exceeded £300 million.

Table analysis for the game between Manchester City and Liverpool

Manchester City: Manchester City is currently in 2nd place with 19 points, 6 points behind the leader Arsenal. The match against Liverpool is very important for City, as a victory could reduce the gap to the top of the table and strengthen their fight for the title. Additionally, staying among the top positions guarantees a spot in the Champions League, a primary goal for the club at this stage of the season.

Liverpool: Liverpool holds 3rd place with 18 points, just behind Manchester City. The head-to-head match is decisive for Liverpool to stay strong in the fight for a Champions League spot. A win could give them an advantage over the immediate rival and increase their chances in the competition, making this game highly relevant for their ambitions this season.

Summary: This is a match of high importance for both teams, which are fighting for the top positions and qualification for the Champions League. The result could directly impact the title race and makes this one of the most anticipated matches of the round.

Tips for the Match Odds market for Manchester City x Liverpool

Is it worth betting on Manchester City?

🔵 Manchester City: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 55.85%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.90. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 560 times – having a profit of $504.00;
• And would lose other 440 times – having a loss of -$440.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$64.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 18.44% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.90. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 180 times – profiting $522.00;
• And would lose other 820 times – having a loss of -$820.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$298.00.

Should you bet on Liverpool?

🔴 Liverpool: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 25.71%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 260 times – having a profit of $676.00;
• And would lose other 740 times – having a loss of -$740.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$64.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Manchester City x Liverpool

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Manchester City
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Manchester City x Liverpool

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Manchester City and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Manchester City. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Manchester City x Liverpool

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.