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Home » Predictions » English Premier League » Southampton x Manchester City Betting tips for May 10 in England Premier League
Saturday, 10 May 2025, 14h00 England Premier League
Southampton Southampton
PREDICTION Manchester City Wins Probability 97% 1 X 2
Manchester City Manchester City
ODD: @1.25 Don't miss this prediction!

Southampton x Manchester City Betting tips for May 10 in England Premier League

Our betting tip for Southampton x Manchester City, Saturday, 10/5/2025
📅 10/5/2025
14:00
Southampton Southampton
9.93
X
6.10
Manchester City Manchester City
1.25

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Southampton x Manchester City:

🔮 Manchester City wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Manchester City, you can win up to $625.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Southampton x Manchester City:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Southampton in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Manchester City in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $72.0.
👉 Manchester City did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as away team.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against Manchester City, Southampton scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Manchester City matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, Southampton conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 road matches, Manchester City has not lost any of them.

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Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Southampton x Manchester City?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Southampton x Manchester City, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Southampton x Manchester City for the England Premier League – 10 of May

🏟️ Southampton X Manchester City – England Premier League
📅 10 of May, 2025 – 14:00
🔵 Southampton – Winning probability: 0.82% | Fair line: 121.98
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 1.31% | Fair line: 76.5
🔴 Manchester City – Winning probability: 97.87% | Fair line: 1.02
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +2.25 Southampton
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on Southampton x Manchester City is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1322135 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Southampton x Manchester City

Is betting on Southampton worth it?

🔵 Southampton: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 0.82% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 9.93. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 10 times – having a profit of $89.30;
  • And would have lost other 990 times – with a loss of -$990.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$900.70.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 1.31%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 6.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 10 times – profiting $51.00;
  • And would lose other 990 times – having a loss of -$990.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$939.00.

Should you bet on Manchester City?

🔴 Manchester City: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 97.87% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 980 times – this would give you a profit of $245.00
  • And would lose other 20 times – having a loss of -$20.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$225.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Southampton x Manchester City

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +2.25 Southampton
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Southampton x Manchester City

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +2.25 Southampton and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +1.75 Southampton.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.75 Manchester City.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Southampton x Manchester City

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.50 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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