📊 You can also check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Tottenham x Crystal Palace
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Analysis from Tottenham x Crystal Palace for the England Premier League – 26 of December
🏟️ Tottenham X Crystal Palace – England Premier League
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Tottenham and Crystal Palace.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 281997 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Tottenham x Crystal Palace
Is it a good idea to bet on Tottenham?
🔵 Tottenham: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 62.52% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.71. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 630 times – having a profit of $447.30;
- And would have lost other 370 times – with a loss of -$370.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$77.30.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 20.26% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.70. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 200 times – having a profit of $540.00;
- And would have lost other 800 times – with a loss of -$800.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$260.00.
Should you bet on Crystal Palace?
🔴 Crystal Palace: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 17.22% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.75. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 170 times – this would give you a profit of $637.50
- And would have lost other 830 times – with a loss of -$830.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$192.50.
Handicaps analysis for the match Tottenham x Crystal Palace
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Tottenham
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the market Handicap 1×2 for Tottenham x Crystal Palace
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.0 Tottenham, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Tottenham.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 Tottenham.
Tips for the market Goals Handicap for Tottenham x Crystal Palace
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicapmarket.
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves