📊 Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for Watford x Norwich
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Maybe you already have an account on Bet365, but that is not a problem! We, from the Clube da Aposta, have been on this business since 2010 and know which bookies are trustworthy or not. Check out our list of the best bookmakers from 2022, you just have to click and bet:
Analysis from Watford x Norwich for the England Premier League – 21 of January
🏟️ Watford X Norwich – England Premier League
When the best bet on Watford x Norwich is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 290581 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Watford x Norwich
Is it worth betting on Watford?
🔵 Watford: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 48.17%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.06. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 480 times – this would give you a profit of $510.00
- And would lose other 520 times – having a loss of -$520.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$10.00.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 28.09% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.48. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 280 times – having a profit of $693.00;
- And would have lost other 720 times – with a loss of -$720.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$27.00.
Is betting on Norwich worth it?
🔴 Norwich: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 23.75%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.52. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 240 times – this would give you a profit of $606.00
- And would have lost other 760 times – with a loss of -$760.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$154.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Watford x Norwich
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Watford
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Watford x Norwich
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Watford and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Watford.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Watford x Norwich
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves