West Ham x Arsenal Betting tips for November 30 in England Premier League

Our betting tip for West Ham x Arsenal, Saturday, 30/11/2024

📅 30/11/2024 17:30

West Ham 5.70

X 4.40

Arsenal 1.50

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for West Ham x Arsenal:

🔮 Arsenal wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Arsenal, you can win up to $750.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

The main points for the tip for West Ham x Arsenal: 👉 If you had bet $100 on West Ham in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-20.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Arsenal in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-285.0. 👉 In the last 5 head-to-head matches between West Ham x Arsenal, with West Ham as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Arsenal conceded at least 1.0 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, West Ham conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Arsenal.

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Analysis from West Ham x Arsenal for the England Premier League – 30 of November

When the best bet on West Ham x Arsenal is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1229690 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for West Ham x Arsenal

Is betting on West Ham worth it?

🔵 West Ham: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 3.1%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.70. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 30 times – this would give you a profit of $141.00
• And would lose other 970 times – having a loss of -$970.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$829.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 12.47%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 120 times – profiting $408.00;
• And would lose other 880 times – having a loss of -$880.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$472.00.

Is betting on Arsenal worth it?

🔴 Arsenal: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 84.43% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 840 times – this would give you a profit of $420.00
• And would have lost other 160 times – with a loss of -$160.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$260.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match West Ham x Arsenal

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 West Ham
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for West Ham x Arsenal

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.75 West Ham, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +1.0 West Ham.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +1.0 West Ham.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for West Ham x Arsenal

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.