West Ham x Burnley Betting tips for November 8 in England Premier League

Our betting tip for West Ham x Burnley, Saturday, 8/11/2025

📅 8/11/2025 15:00

West Ham 2.00

X 3.50

Burnley 3.60

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for West Ham x Burnley:

🔮 Burnley wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Burnley, you can win up to $1800.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Some important points for the tip for West Ham x Burnley:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Burnley in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-80.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Burnley scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Burnley, West Ham scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 Burnley matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, West Ham conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Burnley conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 West Ham has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Burnley playing at home.

🤖 What does ChatGPT have to say about our prediction for West Ham vs Burnley?

Lets analyze the match between West Ham and Burnley at London Stadium, which is West Hams usual stadium, ensuring the home advantage for them. 🏟️

📈 West Ham is in a delicate position in the table, occupying 18th place and fighting to escape relegation. They come from an important victory against Newcastle, which may have boosted the teams morale. On the other hand, Burnley is five points above the relegation zone but also faces recent difficulties with consecutive losses.

Looking at recent stats: both teams have low average goals scored (1 goal per game) and concede many goals (3 per game), indicating vulnerable defenses. West Ham has a poor home record in the last 5 games (only 1 win and 4 losses), while Burnley away has a similar history with just 1 win in their recent away matches.

The implicit probabilities of median odds are: West Ham win ~50%, draw ~28.7%, Burnley win ~27.8%. After normalization to total 100%, the fair probabilities are close to these.

Considering the fragile defensive stats of both teams, West Hams recent morale boost after their first home win of the season and their home advantage at London Stadium, my fair estimate for the probabilities would be roughly:

• West Ham win: about 48%
• Draw: about 30%
• Burnley win: about 22%

Thus, the fair odds would be approximately:

• West Ham: ~2.08
• Draw: ~3.33
• Burnley: ~4.55

Comparing with the final odds offered by bookmakers (1.9 / 3.5 / 4), we see value in betting on West Ham because the odds pay less than my fair calculation but still offer positive value considering the recent improvement of the home team.

Analyzing the Bets Kenya model:

• The suggested bet by the model is clearly on the home team with a significant positive EV (+11%). This makes sense given recent data and news about the Hammers morale recovery;
• Betting on a draw or away team shows negative EV according to the model;

Final suggestion:

Bet on West Ham victory, as besides the statistics indicating a slight superiority despite defensive fragilities, there is a strong psychological boost after their last good home performance.
Expected value is around +10% or more depending on the exact final odds.

📰 Important news reinforce this analysis — recent important victory boosted the Hammers confidence; despite key absences, they seem to be finding better cohesion under Nuno Espírito Santo.
Meanwhile, Burnley struggles to stay away from the relegation zone without recent positive results.

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Analysis from West Ham x Burnley for the England Premier League – 8 of November

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between West Ham and Burnley.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1434165 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Latest news on the match between West Ham and Burnley

West Ham United: West Ham United secured an important comeback victory of 3-1 over Newcastle United at London Stadium on November 2, 2025, marking their first home win in the Premier League since February and Nuno Espírito Santos first win as manager. Lucas Paquetá equalized the match and Tomas Souček scored the winning goal; the victory lifted the Hammers to 18th position, just three points above the relegation zone, while they continue to deal with absences of Ollie Scarles, Konstantinos Mavropanos, and Niclas Fullkrug. Coach Nuno stated he will keep adjusting his lineup in search of a starting team that fits and maintains positive results.

Burnley: Burnley, now under Scott Parker, remains in the Premier League but struggles to stay away from the relegation zone, occupying a position five points above the Z-3 after their fifth league defeat of the season, a 0-2 home loss to Arsenal on November 1, 2025, in which Viktor Gyökeres opened the scoring and the team had difficulty recovering; Parker praised Arsenals quality and said that the early goal “took the wind out of us,” emphasizing that Burnley must give their best in every game to ensure survival.

England Premier League table analysis for West Ham x Burnley

West Ham: West Ham is in 18th position with 7 points and is in the relegation zone. The match against Burnley is extremely important to try to escape this difficult situation and earn points that can make a difference in staying in the Premier League. Every point is crucial in this stretch of the competition to avoid relegation, so the game has high priority for the team.

Burnley: Burnley is in 17th position with 10 points, just above West Ham, and is also fighting to escape relegation. Although they have a small advantage of 3 points, the team is not yet safe and needs to accumulate points to secure their place in English footballs top tier. This direct confrontation against a rival is decisive and can significantly influence the standings.

Summary: This is a game of very high importance for both teams, as they are fighting directly to escape relegation. The result can influence their immediate future in the Premier League, making the match decisive and full of excitement! ⚽🔥

Tips for the 1×2 market for West Ham x Burnley

Is betting on West Ham worth it?

🔵 West Ham: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 44.22% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 440 times – having a profit of $440.00;
• And would lose other 560 times – losing -$560.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$120.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 18.03%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 180 times – this would give you a profit of $450.00
• And would lose other 820 times – losing -$820.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$370.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Burnley?

🔴 Burnley: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 37.75% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 380 times – having a profit of $988.00;
• And would lose other 620 times – having a loss of -$620.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$368.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match West Ham x Burnley

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 West Ham
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for West Ham x Burnley

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 West Ham, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 West Ham.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Burnley.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for West Ham x Burnley

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.