📊 Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Wolverhampton x Watford
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Analysis from Wolverhampton x Watford for the England Premier League – 26 of December
🏟️ Wolverhampton X Watford – England Premier League
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Wolverhampton x Watfordright, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 281997 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Wolverhampton x Watford
Is betting on Wolverhampton worth it?
🔵 Wolverhampton: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 59.14% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.96. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 590 times – having a profit of $563.45;
- And would lose other 410 times – losing -$410.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$153.45.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 19.21% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 190 times – this would give you a profit of $475.00
- And would have lost other 810 times – with a loss of -$810.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$335.00.
Is betting on Watford worth it?
🔴 Watford: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 21.65% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.90. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 220 times – profiting $639.10;
- And would lose other 780 times – losing -$780.00 with them.
That is why bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$140.90.
Handicaps analysis for the match Wolverhampton x Watford
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Wolverhampton
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the market Handicap 1×2 for Wolverhampton x Watford
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Wolverhampton and the available handicap to bet at that moment is -0.5 Wolverhampton.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Watford.
Tips for the market Goals Handicap for Wolverhampton x Watford
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves