Almere City FC x NAC Betting tips for March 14 in Netherlands Eredivisie

Our betting tip for Almere City FC x NAC, Friday, 14/3/2025

📅 14/3/2025 19:00

Almere City FC 2.60

X 3.50

NAC 2.50

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Almere City FC x NAC:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Almere City FC x NAC

The main points for the tip for Almere City FC x NAC: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Almere City FC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-180.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on NAC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-230.0. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Almere City FC conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, NAC conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 It is not a good time for Almere City FC as home team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last home matches. 👉 It is not a good time for NAC as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Analysis from Almere City FC x NAC for the Netherlands Eredivisie – 14 of March

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Almere City FC and NAC.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1281036 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Almere City FC x NAC

Is it worth betting on Almere City FC?

🔵 Almere City FC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 42.49% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 420 times – profiting $672.00;
• And would lose other 580 times – losing -$580.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$92.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 28.38% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 280 times – profiting $700.00;
• And would lose other 720 times – having a loss of -$720.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$20.00.

Should you bet on NAC?

🔴 NAC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 29.13% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 290 times – profiting $435.00;
• And would lose other 710 times – losing -$710.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$275.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Almere City FC x NAC

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Almere City FC
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Almere City FC x NAC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Almere City FC and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Almere City FC.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Almere City FC.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Almere City FC x NAC

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.