AZ x FC Utrecht Betting tips for September 29 in Netherlands Eredivisie

Our betting tip for AZ x FC Utrecht, Sunday, 29/9/2024

📅 29/9/2024 15:00

AZ 1.61

X 4.10

FC Utrecht 5.00

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for AZ x FC Utrecht:

🔮 AZ wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on AZ, you can win up to $805.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Important information for your tip for AZ x FC Utrecht: 👉 If you had bet $100 on AZ in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-57.0. 👉 In the last 10 matches as the home team, AZ scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, FC Utrecht scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against FC Utrecht, AZ scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 head-to-head matches between AZ x FC Utrecht, with AZ as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 Playing as the home team, AZ conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against FC Utrecht. 👉 AZ is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home. 👉 In the last 5 road matches, FC Utrecht has not lost any of them.

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Analysis from AZ x FC Utrecht for the Netherlands Eredivisie – 29 of September

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for AZ x FC Utrecht right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1190630 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for AZ x FC Utrecht

Is betting on AZ worth it?

🔵 AZ: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 80.61% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.61. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 810 times – profiting $494.10;
• And would lose other 190 times – having a loss of -$190.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$304.10.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 11.15%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 110 times – this would give you a profit of $341.00
• And would lose other 890 times – losing -$890.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$549.00.

Is it worth betting on FC Utrecht?

🔴 FC Utrecht: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 8.24% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 80 times – this would give you a profit of $320.00
• And would lose other 920 times – having a loss of -$920.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$600.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match AZ x FC Utrecht

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 AZ
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for AZ x FC Utrecht

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 AZ, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 AZ.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.0 FC Utrecht.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for AZ x FC Utrecht

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.