AZ x Heracles Betting tips for December 1 in Netherlands Eredivisie

Our betting tip for AZ x Heracles, Sunday, 1/12/2024

📅 1/12/2024 13:30

AZ 1.25

X 5.50

Heracles 9.30

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for AZ x Heracles:

🔮 AZ wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on AZ, you can win up to $625.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

The main points for the tip for AZ x Heracles: 👉 If you had bet $100 on AZ in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-210.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Heracles in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-77.0. 👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, AZ scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Heracles, AZ scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, AZ conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, AZ conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Heracles. 👉 AZ has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Heracles playing at home.

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Analysis from AZ x Heracles for the Netherlands Eredivisie – 1 of December

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between AZ and Heracles.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1230121 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for AZ x Heracles

Is betting on AZ worth it?

🔵 AZ: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 93.35%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.25. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 930 times – profiting $232.50;
• And would have lost other 70 times – with a loss of -$70.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$162.50.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 5.06% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 50 times – this would give you a profit of $225.00
• And would have lost other 950 times – with a loss of -$950.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$725.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Heracles?

🔴 Heracles: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 1.59% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 9.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 20 times – having a profit of $166.00;
• And would lose other 980 times – losing -$980.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$814.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match AZ x Heracles

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 AZ
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for AZ x Heracles

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.25 AZ, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.5 AZ.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.5 Heracles.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for AZ x Heracles

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.