FC Groningen x Go Ahead Eagles Betting tips for September 29 in Netherlands Eredivisie

Our betting tip for FC Groningen x Go Ahead Eagles, Sunday, 29/9/2024

📅 29/9/2024 09:30

FC Groningen 2.22

X 3.50

Go Ahead Eagles 2.95

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for FC Groningen x Go Ahead Eagles:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for FC Groningen x Go Ahead Eagles

Important information for your tip for FC Groningen x Go Ahead Eagles: 👉 If you had bet $100 on FC Groningen in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $42.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Go Ahead Eagles in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $105.0. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against Go Ahead Eagles, FC Groningen scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Go Ahead Eagles conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 FC Groningen has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against Go Ahead Eagles playing at home.

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Analysis from FC Groningen x Go Ahead Eagles for the Netherlands Eredivisie – 29 of September

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for FC Groningen x Go Ahead Eagles right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1190630 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for FC Groningen x Go Ahead Eagles

Should you bet on FC Groningen?

🔵 FC Groningen: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 46.04% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.22. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 460 times – having a profit of $561.20;
• And would lose other 540 times – losing -$540.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$21.20, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 26.14% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 260 times – having a profit of $650.00;
• And would lose other 740 times – having a loss of -$740.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$90.00.

Is it worth betting on Go Ahead Eagles?

🔴 Go Ahead Eagles: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 27.82%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.95. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 280 times – this would give you a profit of $546.00
• And would lose other 720 times – having a loss of -$720.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$174.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match FC Groningen x Go Ahead Eagles

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 FC Groningen
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for FC Groningen x Go Ahead Eagles

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 FC Groningen, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 FC Groningen.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Go Ahead Eagles.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for FC Groningen x Go Ahead Eagles

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.