FC Groningen x Willem II Betting tips for November 30 in Netherlands Eredivisie
| 📅 30/11/2024 17:45 |
 FC Groningen2.08 |
X 3.40 |
Willem II  3.38 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for FC Groningen x Willem II:
🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1700.00!
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Some important points for the tip for FC Groningen x Willem II: 👉 If you had bet $100 on FC Groningen in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-250.0. |
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Analysis from FC Groningen x Willem II for the Netherlands Eredivisie – 30 of November
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🏟️ FC Groningen X Willem II – Netherlands Eredivisie |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for FC Groningen x Willem II right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1229690 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for FC Groningen x Willem II
Should you bet on FC Groningen?
🔵 FC Groningen: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 42.66% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.08. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 430 times – profiting $464.40;
- And would lose other 570 times – losing -$570.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$105.60.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 34.99% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 350 times – having a profit of $840.00;
- And would have lost other 650 times – with a loss of -$650.00 because of them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$190.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on Willem II?
🔴 Willem II: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 22.35% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.38. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 220 times – having a profit of $523.60;
- And would lose other 780 times – having a loss of -$780.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$256.40.
Handicaps analysis for the match FC Groningen x Willem II
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 FC Groningen
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for FC Groningen x Willem II
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 FC Groningen, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 FC Groningen.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 FC Groningen.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for FC Groningen x Willem II
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
