📊 Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for FC Utrecht x Ajax
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Analysis from FC Utrecht x Ajax for the Netherlands Eredivisie – 16 of January
🏟️ FC Utrecht X Ajax – Netherlands Eredivisie
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between FC Utrecht and Ajax.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 288046 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for FC Utrecht x Ajax
Is betting on FC Utrecht worth it?
🔵 FC Utrecht: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 3.54%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.80. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 40 times – this would give you a profit of $192.00
- And would lose other 960 times – having a loss of -$960.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$768.00.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 10.2%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.78. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 100 times – profiting $378.00;
- And would lose other 900 times – having a loss of -$900.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$522.00.
Is it worth betting on Ajax?
🔴 Ajax: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 86.26%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.45. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 860 times – profiting $387.00;
- And would have lost other 140 times – with a loss of -$140.00 because of them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$247.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match FC Utrecht x Ajax
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.0 FC Utrecht
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for FC Utrecht x Ajax
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +1.0 FC Utrecht, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +1.25 FC Utrecht.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +1.25 FC Utrecht.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for FC Utrecht x Ajax
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.25 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.25 goals.
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves