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Home » Predictions » Eredivisie » PEC Zwolle x Ajax Betting tips for March 9 in Netherlands Eredivisie
Sunday, 09 March 2025, 13h30 Netherlands Eredivisie
PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle
PREDICTION Ajax Wins Probability 78% 1 X 2
Ajax Ajax
ODD: @1.6 Don't miss this prediction!

PEC Zwolle x Ajax Betting tips for March 9 in Netherlands Eredivisie

Our betting tip for PEC Zwolle x Ajax, Sunday, 9/3/2025
📅 9/3/2025
13:30
PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle
5.00
X
4.20
Ajax Ajax
1.60

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for PEC Zwolle x Ajax:

🔮 Ajax wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Ajax, you can win up to $800.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for PEC Zwolle x Ajax:

👉 If you had bet $100 on PEC Zwolle in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $600.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Ajax in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $278.0.
👉 Ajax did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as away team.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, PEC Zwolle scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Ajax scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 Ajax matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, PEC Zwolle conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, PEC Zwolle conceded at least 2 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Ajax.
👉 Ajax is hard to beat as a visitor: it has 3 wins in a row in its last road matches.
👉 Even as a visitor, Ajax won the last 5 head-to-head matches PEC Zwolle´s territory

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on PEC Zwolle x Ajax?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on PEC Zwolle x Ajax, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from PEC Zwolle x Ajax for the Netherlands Eredivisie – 9 of March

🏟️ PEC Zwolle X Ajax – Netherlands Eredivisie
📅 9 of March, 2025 – 13:30
🔵 PEC Zwolle – Winning probability: 8.17% | Fair line: 12.25
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 13.23% | Fair line: 7.56
🔴 Ajax – Winning probability: 78.61% | Fair line: 1.27
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 PEC Zwolle
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between PEC Zwolle and Ajax.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1277138 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for PEC Zwolle x Ajax

Should you bet on PEC Zwolle?

🔵 PEC Zwolle: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 8.17% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 80 times – having a profit of $320.00;
  • And would lose other 920 times – having a loss of -$920.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$600.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 13.23% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 130 times – this would give you a profit of $416.00
  • And would have lost other 870 times – with a loss of -$870.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$454.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Ajax?

🔴 Ajax: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 78.61%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 790 times – profiting $474.00;
  • And would lose other 210 times – losing -$210.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$264.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match PEC Zwolle x Ajax

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 PEC Zwolle
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for PEC Zwolle x Ajax

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.75 PEC Zwolle and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +1.0 PEC Zwolle.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +1.0 PEC Zwolle.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for PEC Zwolle x Ajax

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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