Clube da Aposta Clube da Aposta menu  
What would you like to find?
fundo 1
free bonus kenya betting
Home ยป Predictions ยป Europa League ยป Athletic Bilbao x AZ Betting tips for October 3 in UEFA Europa League
Thursday, 03 October 2024, 16h00 UEFA Europa League
Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao
PREDICTION Athletic Bilbao wins Probability 71% 1 X 2
AZ AZ
ODD: @1.62 Don't miss this prediction!

Athletic Bilbao x AZ Betting tips for October 3 in UEFA Europa League

Our betting tip for Athletic Bilbao x AZ, Thursday, 3/10/2024
๐Ÿ“… 3/10/2024
16:00
Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao
1.62
X
4.00
AZ AZ
5.00

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Athletic Bilbao x AZ:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Athletic Bilbao wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Athletic Bilbao, you can win up to $810.00!

๐Ÿ”ฎ AZ wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on AZ, you can win up to $2500.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Athletic Bilbao x AZ:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Athletic Bilbao in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-162.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on AZ in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $156.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team, Athletic Bilbao conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 road matches, AZ has not lost any of them.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Athletic Bilbao x AZ?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Athletic Bilbao x AZ, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Athletic Bilbao x AZ for the UEFA Europa League – 3 of October

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Athletic Bilbao X AZ – UEFA Europa League
๐Ÿ“… 3 of October, 2024 – 16:00
๐Ÿ”ต Athletic Bilbao – Winning probability: 71.01% | Fair line: 1.41
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 8.95% | Fair line: 11.17
๐Ÿ”ด AZ – Winning probability: 20.04% | Fair line: 4.99
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Athletic Bilbao
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on Athletic Bilbao x AZ is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1194241 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Athletic Bilbao x AZ

Should you bet on Athletic Bilbao?

๐Ÿ”ต Athletic Bilbao: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 71.01%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.62. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 710 times – this would give you a profit of $440.20
  • And would have lost other 290 times – with a loss of -$290.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$150.20.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

โšช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 8.95%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 90 times – this would give you a profit of $270.00
  • And would lose other 910 times – losing -$910.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$640.00.

Is it worth betting on AZ?

๐Ÿ”ด AZ: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 20.04% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 200 times – having a profit of $800.00;
  • And would lose other 800 times – losing -$800.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$0.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Athletic Bilbao x AZ

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Athletic Bilbao
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Athletic Bilbao x AZ

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Athletic Bilbao and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 Athletic Bilbao.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.0 AZ.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Athletic Bilbao x AZ

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
Newsletter
Newsletter

Receba o melhor conteรบdo sobre Apostas Esportivas On-line direto na sua caixa de email

There is a problem with this PHP insert: missing both parameters