Bologna x SK Brann Betting tips for November 6 in UEFA Europa League
| 📅 6/11/2025 20:00 |
 Bologna1.40 |
X 4.80 |
SK Brann  7.00 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Bologna x SK Brann:
🔮 Bologna wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Bologna, you can win up to $700.00!
The main points for the tip for Bologna x SK Brann:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Bologna in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $110.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on SK Brann in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-45.0.
👉 In the last 8 SK Brann matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, SK Brann conceded at least 2 goal(s).
🤖 What does ChatGPT say about our prediction for Bologna vs SK Brann?
⚽ The match between Bologna and SK Brann promises to be an interesting duel in the UEFA Europa League, with the game taking place at Renato DallAra Stadium, Bolognas traditional home. Analyzing recent statistics, Bologna shows a solid performance at home, with 3 wins and no losses in the last 5 games at their stadium, averaging 1.6 goals per game and conceding only 0.4 goals. Additionally, they maintain good ball possession (59%) and create more offensive chances (14 shots per game). SK Brann has shown some inconsistency away from home, with 2 wins and 3 losses in their recent away games in the current league season.
📈 In the European domestic league table, the teams situation indicates Bologna is more comfortable seeking victory on their historic home ground, while SK Brann needs to earn points to improve their position in the continental competition. This need may lead visitors to adopt a more offensive stance but vulnerable defensively.
📰 Recent news reinforces this analysis: Bologna is on a winning streak after a convincing victory against Parma, highlighted by Santiago Castro, who has been decisive in attack; SK Brann faces a tight schedule between national and European competitions, which could impact their physical preparation and tactical focus.
Analyzing the median odds offered by betting houses (1.4 for Bologna win; 4.8 for draw; 7 for SK Brann win), adjusted for house margins, we have approximate fair probabilities of:
- Bologna win: ~66%
- Draw: ~19%
- SK Brann win: ~15%
The fair forecast suggests a strong favoritism for the home team due to the demonstrated technical superiority in offensive/defensive statistics combined with the advantage of playing at home in Renato DallAra.
The Bets Kenya model seems to underestimate the chances of both a draw and an away win, presenting predicted odds that are very high (12+ for draw and above 35 for away), indicating an overly pessimistic view of these outcomes — probably ignoring factors such as the recent good form of the home team or the positive impact of recent signings.
Suggestion: Bet on Bolognas victory, as it presents a significant positive expected value (>20%), confirming it as a value bet in this matchup considering all analyzed variables.
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Analysis from Bologna x SK Brann for the UEFA Europa League – 6 of November
🏟️ Bologna X SK Brann – UEFA Europa League
📅 6 of November, 2025 – 20:00
🔵 Bologna – Winning probability: 80.22% | Fair line: 1.25
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 9.71% | Fair line: 10.3
🔴 SK Brann – Winning probability: 10.07% | Fair line: 9.93
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Bologna
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks
When the best bet on Bologna x SK Brann is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1433555 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Latest news about Bologna x SK Brann
Bologna: Bologna maintained its strong streak in Serie A at the start of November, winning Parma 3-1 on November 2nd, with Santiago Castro scoring two goals, while Adrian Bernabè and Mirko Miranda also found the net. The team played with a 4-2-3-1 tactical setup, featuring Skorupski, Holm, Heggem, Lucumi, and Miranda in defense, Pobega and Freuler in midfield, Orsolini, Odgaard, and Rowe on the wings, and Castro leading the attack. A week earlier, they held Torino to a goalless draw at Dall’Ara, in a match attended by coach Vincenzo Italiano, who had just been discharged from the hospital after pneumonia and returned to the stadium in a VIP area. The club’s recent signings are still being evaluated, especially the English winger Jonathan Rowe, who despite a €20 million fee has yet to score, while Castro’s prolific form has earned praise and boosted his fantasy football scores.
SK Brann: The mens team of SK Brann is currently eighth in the domestic league and will travel to face FC Midtjylland in a UEFA Europa League match on January 22, 2026, at Brann Stadion, while their recent Europa League opponent, PAOK, had been previously faced in the competition. The womens team, leader of Toppserien, is scheduled to play against Stabæk on November 7, 2025. The club’s overall schedule also includes a recent league match against Bodø/Glimt on October 29, 2025, and a domestic game against Bryne FK, reflecting an intense period for both the mens and womens main teams.
Table analysis for the match between Bologna x SK Brann
Bologna: Bologna is in 18th place in the table, with 4 points and a goal difference of zero. They have an unstable performance, with only one win and two draws so far. They are close to the relegation zone, making this match crucial to try to earn points that improve their position and avoid future complications in the UEFA Europa League standings. Therefore, this game is very important for Bologna, especially to keep their chances of qualification or to prevent an even worse performance.
SK Brann: SK Brann is in 8th place in the table, with 6 points and a positive goal difference (+3). Although not in the top positions, they are relatively close to the teams qualifying for the playoffs, making this game also significant for their aspirations to continue in the competition and advance. A victory against Bologna could be an important step to improve their standing, making this match highly relevant for the Norwegian team.
Summary: The match is important for both teams. Bologna needs points to move away from an uncomfortable position in the table, while SK Brann wants to confirm their position near the playoffs and seek a better qualification. A game with weight for both teams ambitions in this phase of the UEFA Europa League. ⚽🔥
Tips for the Match Odds market for Bologna x SK Brann
Is betting on Bologna worth it?
🔵 Bologna: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 80.22% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 800 times – this would give you a profit of $320.00
- And would lose other 200 times – losing -$200.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$120.00.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 9.71% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.80. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 100 times – this would give you a profit of $380.00
- And would lose other 900 times – having a loss of -$900.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$520.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on SK Brann?
🔴 SK Brann: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 10.07% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 7.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 100 times – profiting $600.00;
- And would have lost other 900 times – with a loss of -$900.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$300.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Bologna x SK Brann
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Bologna
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Bologna x SK Brann
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 Bologna and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.25 Bologna.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.25 SK Brann.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Bologna x SK Brann
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.
