Dinamo Zagreb x Celta Vigo Betting tips for November 6 in UEFA Europa League

Our betting tip for Dinamo Zagreb x Celta Vigo, Thursday, 6/11/2025

📅 6/11/2025 17:45

Dinamo Zagreb 2.65

X 3.30

Celta Vigo 2.50

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Dinamo Zagreb x Celta Vigo:

🔮 Dinamo Zagreb wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Dinamo Zagreb, you can win up to $1325.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Some important points for the tip for Dinamo Zagreb x Celta Vigo:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Dinamo Zagreb in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $229.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Celta Vigo in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $136.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Dinamo Zagreb scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Celta Vigo scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 Dinamo Zagreb matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Dinamo Zagreb conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Dinamo Zagreb is good playing home: it has 4 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
👉 Celta Vigo is hard to beat as a visitor: it has 3 wins in a row in its last road matches.

🤖 What’s ChatGPT’s opinion on our prediction for Dinamo Zagreb vs Celta Vigo?

⚽ The match between Dinamo Zagreb and Celta Vigo promises to be balanced, but with a slight advantage for Dinamo Zagreb playing at Maksimir Stadium, their usual ground, where they have a great recent performance: 4 wins in 5 home games this season and an average of 2 goals scored per game. Celta Vigo also performs well away from home, with 3 wins in their last 5 away matches and a similar goals average (2 per game), but they suffer more shots on target (16 against only 6 from the opponent), which could work against them.

📈 In the UEFA Europa League table, Dinamo Zagreb is pleasantly surprising with a solid campaign and good defensive stats (1.4 xG conceded), plus extra motivation from playing most of their upcoming matches at home. Meanwhile, Celta Vigo is riding high after a recent victory in LaLiga EA Sports, reversing a negative scoreline, showing resilience.

📰 News reinforces this analysis: Dinamo is seen as a surprise contender to advance in the tournament and relies on the strength of home advantage at Maksimir; while Celta arrives confident after an important win in Spain. This suggests both teams have strong reasons to seek victory passionately.

🔢 Calculating fair probabilities based on recent stats and median odds adjusted for bookmaker margins, we have:

• Fair probability of Dinamo Zagreb victory: ~34%
• Draw: ~29%
• Celta Vigo victory: ~37%

The fair odds for Dinamos win would be around 2.94; draw about 3.45; and Celta approximately 2.70.

Looking at the final odds offered by bookmakers (Dinamo @2.7 / Draw @3.25 / Celta @2.6), we see that the odds are slightly favorable to the visitor compared to our estimate — meaning there is potential value in betting on the home team considering their good defensive form at home combined with the traditionally strong home advantage at Maksimir.

Suggested Bet: bet on Dinamo Zagreb to win, as it shows a positive expected value above +5% (~+8%), indicating a good risk-return ratio with current odds.

Discrepancy with Bets Kenya model:
The model indicated high confidence in the home team’s victory (very low predicted odds), but overestimated this favoritism excessively compared to actual odds — our calculation provides a more balanced view but still favors the Croatian team playing at home.

Final summary:

• Maksimir is truly a stronghold for Dinamo;
• Celtas are dangerous but less defensively consistent away;
• Betting on the home win offers real value according to combined analysis;
• It could be an open game but the balance leans slightly towards the Croatian side!

Let’s take advantage of this opportunity! 💰⚽🔥

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Dinamo Zagreb x Celta Vigo?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2025. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Dinamo Zagreb x Celta Vigo for the UEFA Europa League – 6 of November

When the best bet on Dinamo Zagreb x Celta Vigo is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1433555 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Latest news on the match between Dinamo Zagreb and Celta Vigo

Dinamo Zagreb: Dinamo Zagreb is enjoying a strong start in the UEFA Europa League 2025-26, accumulating seven points and showing the second-best expected goals conceded rate (1.4), only behind Braga. Highlights include a surprising victory over Fenerbahçe and three of their next five matches being at home. The club is now seen as a surprise contender to finish among the top eight, with an implied probability of about 18%. They will travel to Lille for a group stage match on November 27, before a decisive home game against Midtjylland on January 29. domestically, they will face NK Karlovac 1919 in the Croatian Cup on November 19.

Celta Vigo: Celta Vigo secured a 2-1 victory over Levante in LaLiga EA Sports on November 2, 2025, with the Spanish team overturning a 1-0 deficit in the second half to secure three points. During the match, Etta Eyong of Levante missed a right-footed shot to the center before Celtas comeback. This win adds to the clubs ongoing campaign in Spains top division, a team historically associated with former French midfielder Claude Makelele.

Table analysis for the match between Dinamo Zagreb and Celta Vigo

Dinamo Zagreb: Dinamo Zagreb is in 4th place on the UEFA Europa League table with 7 points, close to the top positions that secure a spot in the playoffs. Despite a slight drop in position (-3), the team is still firmly fighting for qualification to the next phase, making the match against Celta Vigo very important to maintain or improve their standing. A victory could solidify the team in the playoff zone, ensuring an advantage in the remaining rounds.

Celta Vigo: Celta Vigo is in 9th place with 6 points, also very close to the playoff qualification zone. Although they dropped 4 positions this round, the point difference to the qualification group remains small, turning this match into a great opportunity for the Spanish team to recover and dream again of qualifying. It is a high-importance game to try to reverse the current situation on the table.

Summary: The match is important for both teams, as both Dinamo Zagreb and Celta Vigo are in direct competition for spots in the next phase of the competition. The winner gains a clear advantage towards the UEFA Europa League playoffs. ⚽🔥

Tips for the 1×2 market for Dinamo Zagreb x Celta Vigo

Is betting on Dinamo Zagreb worth it?

🔵 Dinamo Zagreb: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 55.35% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.65. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 550 times – this would give you a profit of $907.50
• And would have lost other 450 times – with a loss of -$450.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$457.50.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 20.36% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.30. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 200 times – this would give you a profit of $460.00
• And would lose other 800 times – having a loss of -$800.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$340.00.

Is it worth betting on Celta Vigo?

🔴 Celta Vigo: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 24.29%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 240 times – this would give you a profit of $360.00
• And would have lost other 760 times – with a loss of -$760.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$400.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Dinamo Zagreb x Celta Vigo

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Dinamo Zagreb
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Dinamo Zagreb x Celta Vigo

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Dinamo Zagreb, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Dinamo Zagreb.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Dinamo Zagreb.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Dinamo Zagreb x Celta Vigo

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.