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Home » Predictions » Europa League » Elfsborg x Roma Betting tips for October 3 in UEFA Europa League
Thursday, 03 October 2024, 16h00 UEFA Europa League
Elfsborg Elfsborg
PREDICTION Roma Wins Probability 66% 1 X 2
Roma Roma
ODD: @1.61 Don't miss this prediction!

Elfsborg x Roma Betting tips for October 3 in UEFA Europa League

Our betting tip for Elfsborg x Roma, Thursday, 3/10/2024
📅 3/10/2024
16:00
Elfsborg Elfsborg
4.94
X
4.00
Roma Roma
1.61

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Elfsborg x Roma:

🔮 Roma wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Roma, you can win up to $805.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Elfsborg x Roma:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Elfsborg in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-142.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Roma in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-386.0.
👉 In the last 4 Roma matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 7 road matches, Roma has not lost any of them.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Elfsborg x Roma?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Elfsborg x Roma for the UEFA Europa League – 3 of October

🏟️ Elfsborg X Roma – UEFA Europa League
📅 3 of October, 2024 – 16:00
🔵 Elfsborg – Winning probability: 22.49% | Fair line: 4.45
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 10.78% | Fair line: 9.27
🔴 Roma – Winning probability: 66.73% | Fair line: 1.5
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Elfsborg
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Elfsborg x Roma right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1194241 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Elfsborg x Roma

Is it worth betting on Elfsborg?

🔵 Elfsborg: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 22.49% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.94. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 220 times – having a profit of $866.80;
  • And would lose other 780 times – losing -$780.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$86.80.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 10.78% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 110 times – having a profit of $330.00;
  • And would have lost other 890 times – with a loss of -$890.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$560.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Roma?

🔴 Roma: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 66.73%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.61. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 670 times – this would give you a profit of $408.70
  • And would have lost other 330 times – with a loss of -$330.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$78.70.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Elfsborg x Roma

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Elfsborg
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Elfsborg x Roma

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 Elfsborg, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +1.0 Elfsborg.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +1.0 Elfsborg.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Elfsborg x Roma

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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