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Home ยป Predictions ยป Europa League ยป Lazio x Nice Betting tips for October 3 in UEFA Europa League
Thursday, 03 October 2024, 13h45 UEFA Europa League
Lazio Lazio
PREDICTION Nice Wins Probability 27% 1 X 2
Nice Nice
ODD: @4.2 Don't miss this prediction!

Lazio x Nice Betting tips for October 3 in UEFA Europa League

Our betting tip for Lazio x Nice, Thursday, 3/10/2024
๐Ÿ“… 3/10/2024
13:45
Lazio Lazio
1.85
X
3.60
Nice Nice
4.20

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Lazio x Nice:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Lazio wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Lazio, you can win up to $925.00!

๐Ÿ”ฎ Nice wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Nice, you can win up to $2100.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Lazio x Nice:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Lazio in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-102.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Nice in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-305.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team, Lazio scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 Lazio matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team, Lazio conceded at least 1 goal(s).

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

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Analysis from Lazio x Nice for the UEFA Europa League – 3 of October

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Lazio X Nice – UEFA Europa League
๐Ÿ“… 3 of October, 2024 – 13:45
๐Ÿ”ต Lazio – Winning probability: 60.71% | Fair line: 1.65
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 11.81% | Fair line: 8.47
๐Ÿ”ด Nice – Winning probability: 27.48% | Fair line: 3.64
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Lazio
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on Lazio x Nice is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1194161 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Lazio x Nice

Should you bet on Lazio?

๐Ÿ”ต Lazio: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 60.71%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.85. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 610 times – having a profit of $518.50;
  • And would lose other 390 times – having a loss of -$390.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$128.50.

Is betting on draw worth it?

โšช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 11.81% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 120 times – this would give you a profit of $312.00
  • And would lose other 880 times – having a loss of -$880.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$568.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Nice?

๐Ÿ”ด Nice: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 27.48% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 270 times – having a profit of $864.00;
  • And would lose other 730 times – losing -$730.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$134.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Lazio x Nice

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Lazio
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Lazio x Nice

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Lazio, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Lazio. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Lazio x Nice

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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