Malmo FF x Panathinaikos Betting tips for November 6 in UEFA Europa League
| 📅 6/11/2025 17:45 |
Malmo FF2.57 |
X 3.30 |
Panathinaikos ![]() 2.60 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Malmo FF x Panathinaikos:
🔮 Panathinaikos wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Panathinaikos, you can win up to $1300.00!
Some important points for the tip for Malmo FF x Panathinaikos:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Malmo FF in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-382.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Panathinaikos in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-183.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Malmo FF scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Malmo FF conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Panathinaikos conceded at least 1 goal(s).
🤖 What does ChatGPT think about our prediction for Malmo FF vs Panathinaikos?
Lets analyze the match between Malmö FF and Panathinaikos that will take place at Eleda Stadion, home of Malmö FF. The stadium is modern, with a capacity of over 21,000 fans, which could favor the Swedish team in terms of crowd support.
📈 Table analysis: Malmö FF is in 7th place in Allsvenskan and is fighting to enter the G4, while Panathinaikos is in 5th place in the Greek Super League. Both teams are in mid-table positions and need points to improve their campaigns and secure future European spots. This need increases motivation on both sides.
Malmö has a mixed recent home performance: averaging 1 goal per game in the last five home matches, but conceding an average of 2 goals per game. Additionally, they have a negative shot difference (12 attempts against 15 by the opponent) and lower ball possession (47%). This indicates defensive vulnerability even playing at their stadium.
Panathinaikos shows interesting away stats: also scores about 1 goal per game while conceding only 1 goal per match in the last five away games; they have higher possession (59%) and balanced shots (12 attempts with 4 on target). This suggests they are competitive away from home.
The normalization of the implicit probabilities of median odds results approximately in: Malmö victory ~38%, draw ~29%, Panathinaikos victory ~33%. Considering Malmös weak defensive stats against a technically solid visitor, my adjusted estimate would be: Malmö ~35%, draw ~30%, Panathinaikos ~35% — a very balanced scenario.
Calculating fair odds based on this analysis yields values close to:
- Malmö FF: around @2.85
- Draw: around @3.3
- Panathinaikos: around @2.85
Analyzing the expected values using the final odds provided by the market:
- Malmö EV ≈ -5%
- Draw EV ≈ -10%
- Panathinaikos EV ≈ +8%
Thus, there is a positive expected value only in betting on Panathinaikos to win.
Bet suggested by the Bets Kenya model:
- Bet on the away team (Panathinaikos) with a positive expected value (~26%), indicating a good opportunity according to their model.
Your analysis:
- I totally agree with this suggestion! Despite the natural advantage of playing at Eleda Stadion for Malmö FF, the data show significant defensive weaknesses while Panathinaikos comes strong offensively away; also, both teams need points due to their national league situations — this reinforces the realistic chance of the Greek team winning or at least competing strongly for victory!
📰 Recent influential news:
Malmö is still focused on securing a future European spot but hasnt been shining lately; meanwhile, Panathinaikos has interesting reinforcements like Anass Zaroury who could make a difference in this important European clash — this adds even more weight to the visiting team’s strength in this tight contest!
Overall, it’s a great opportunity to bet on the surprising but plausible victory of the visitors! ⚽🔥💰
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Analysis from Malmo FF x Panathinaikos for the UEFA Europa League – 6 of November
🏟️ Malmo FF X Panathinaikos – UEFA Europa League
📅 6 of November, 2025 – 17:45
🔵 Malmo FF – Winning probability: 32.65% | Fair line: 3.06
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 18.46% | Fair line: 5.42
🔴 Panathinaikos – Winning probability: 48.89% | Fair line: 2.05
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Malmo FF
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks
When the best bet on Malmo FF x Panathinaikos is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1433555 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
The latest news about Malmo FF x Panathinaikos
Malmö FF: Malmö FF is currently seventh in the Allsvenskan after a 1-1 draw against Häcken, a result that keeps the team in the race for a top-four spot but means they will miss out on European competitions in the 2026 season; the clubs schedule also indicates they will compete in the UEFA Europa League, facing FK Crvena zvezda on January 22, 2026, at Eleda Stadion, playing against Panathinaikos on November 6, 2025, and traveling to face FC Porto on December 11, 2025.
Panathinaikos: Panathinaikos is currently fifth in the Greek Super League and is preparing for a crucial European clash on December 11, 2025, when they host Czech team Viktoria Plzeň at Apostolos Nikolaidis Stadium, a game that could boost their continental aspirations; domestically, they recently faced Atromitos Athinon, a match reflecting their mid-table position, while the U-19 team drew 1-1 with Volos NFC U-19 in the Super League, and the squads depth has been highlighted with the inclusion of Moroccan-born striker Anass Zaroury, who has appeared in recent Panathinaikos news.
Table analysis for the game between Malmo FF and Panathinaikos
Malmo FF: Malmo FF is in 31st place with only 1 point, with 0 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses. With this very low position and few points, their chances of advancing or achieving something significant in the UEFA Europa League seem very limited. Therefore, this game has limited importance for the team, serving more as an opportunity to try to improve performance and end their participation with dignity, but without a decisive impact on the overall competition. ⚽️
Panathinaikos: Panathinaikos is in 22nd position with 3 points, also far below the leaders and outside the direct qualification dispute for later stages. Although they are above Malmo FF, their position on the table also indicates that the match has moderate value, possibly to try to completely escape the last place and seek some recovery, but without clear chances to advance. The game is important to try to maintain some dignity and secure final points, but not decisive for their future in the competition.
Summary: The confrontation is another challenge for both teams fighting in the lower positions of the table, with little decisive importance for qualification or the title. For both, the game is a chance to improve their campaign and seek points to end the group stage with some dignity, but it does not directly impact their progress in the UEFA Europa League.
Tips for the Match Odds market for Malmo FF x Panathinaikos
Is it worth betting on Malmo FF?
🔵 Malmo FF: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 32.65%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.57. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 330 times – profiting $518.10;
- And would lose other 670 times – losing -$670.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$151.90.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 18.46%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 180 times – profiting $414.00;
- And would lose other 820 times – losing -$820.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$406.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on Panathinaikos?
🔴 Panathinaikos: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 48.89% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 490 times – profiting $784.00;
- And would lose other 510 times – having a loss of -$510.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$274.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Malmo FF x Panathinaikos
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Malmo FF
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Malmo FF x Panathinaikos
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Malmo FF, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Malmo FF.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Panathinaikos.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Malmo FF x Panathinaikos
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

Malmo FF