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Home » Predictions » Europa League » Olympiakos x Braga Betting tips for October 3 in UEFA Europa League
Thursday, 03 October 2024, 13h45 UEFA Europa League
Olympiakos Olympiakos
PREDICTION Braga Wins Probability 34% 1 X 2
Braga Braga
ODD: @3.39 Don't miss this prediction!

Olympiakos x Braga Betting tips for October 3 in UEFA Europa League

Our betting tip for Olympiakos x Braga, Thursday, 3/10/2024
📅 3/10/2024
13:45
Olympiakos Olympiakos
2.10
X
3.50
Braga Braga
3.39

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Olympiakos x Braga:

🔮 Braga wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Braga, you can win up to $1695.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Olympiakos x Braga:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Olympiakos in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-50.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Braga in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $40.0.
👉 In the last 6 road matches, Braga has not lost any of them.

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Summary

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Analysis from Olympiakos x Braga for the UEFA Europa League – 3 of October

🏟️ Olympiakos X Braga – UEFA Europa League
📅 3 of October, 2024 – 13:45
🔵 Olympiakos – Winning probability: 48.74% | Fair line: 2.05
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 16.64% | Fair line: 6.01
🔴 Braga – Winning probability: 34.62% | Fair line: 2.89
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Olympiakos
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Olympiakos and Braga.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1194161 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Olympiakos x Braga

Is betting on Olympiakos worth it?

🔵 Olympiakos: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 48.74% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 490 times – profiting $539.00;
  • And would lose other 510 times – having a loss of -$510.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$29.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 16.64% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 170 times – this would give you a profit of $425.00
  • And would lose other 830 times – losing -$830.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$405.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Braga?

🔴 Braga: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 34.62%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.39. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 350 times – profiting $836.50;
  • And would lose other 650 times – losing -$650.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$186.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Olympiakos x Braga

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Olympiakos
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Olympiakos x Braga

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Olympiakos, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Olympiakos.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Olympiakos x Braga

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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