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Home » Predictions » Europa League » PAOK Salonika x FCSB Betting tips for October 3 in UEFA Europa League
Thursday, 03 October 2024, 16h00 UEFA Europa League
PAOK Salonika PAOK Salonika
PREDICTION PAOK Salonika wins Probability 75% 1 X 2
FCSB FCSB
ODD: @1.6 Don't miss this prediction!

PAOK Salonika x FCSB Betting tips for October 3 in UEFA Europa League

Our betting tip for PAOK Salonika x FCSB, Thursday, 3/10/2024
📅 3/10/2024
16:00
PAOK Salonika PAOK Salonika
1.60
X
4.00
FCSB FCSB
5.28

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for PAOK Salonika x FCSB:

🔮 PAOK Salonika wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on PAOK Salonika, you can win up to $800.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for PAOK Salonika x FCSB:

👉 If you had bet $100 on PAOK Salonika in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-148.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on FCSB in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-275.0.
👉 In the last 3 PAOK Salonika matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.

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Summary

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Analysis from PAOK Salonika x FCSB for the UEFA Europa League – 3 of October

🏟️ PAOK Salonika X FCSB – UEFA Europa League
📅 3 of October, 2024 – 16:00
🔵 PAOK Salonika – Winning probability: 75.58% | Fair line: 1.32
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 9.36% | Fair line: 10.68
🔴 FCSB – Winning probability: 15.06% | Fair line: 6.64
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 PAOK Salonika
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 8.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on PAOK Salonika x FCSB is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1194241 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for PAOK Salonika x FCSB

Should you bet on PAOK Salonika?

🔵 PAOK Salonika: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 75.58%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 760 times – having a profit of $456.00;
  • And would have lost other 240 times – with a loss of -$240.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$216.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 9.36% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 90 times – this would give you a profit of $270.00
  • And would lose other 910 times – having a loss of -$910.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$640.00.

Should you bet on FCSB?

🔴 FCSB: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 15.06% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.28. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 150 times – having a profit of $642.00;
  • And would have lost other 850 times – with a loss of -$850.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$208.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match PAOK Salonika x FCSB

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 PAOK Salonika
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for PAOK Salonika x FCSB

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.0 PAOK Salonika, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 PAOK Salonika.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for PAOK Salonika x FCSB

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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