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Home ยป Predictions ยป Europa League ยป TSG Hoffenheim x Dynamo Kiev Betting tips for October 3 in UEFA Europa League
Thursday, 03 October 2024, 13h45 UEFA Europa League
TSG Hoffenheim TSG Hoffenheim
PREDICTION Dynamo Kiev Wins Probability 93% 1 X 2
Dynamo Kiev Dynamo Kiev
ODD: @3.91 Don't miss this prediction!

TSG Hoffenheim x Dynamo Kiev Betting tips for October 3 in UEFA Europa League

Our betting tip for TSG Hoffenheim x Dynamo Kiev, Thursday, 3/10/2024
๐Ÿ“… 3/10/2024
13:45
TSG Hoffenheim TSG Hoffenheim
1.87
X
3.75
Dynamo Kiev Dynamo Kiev
3.91

Our algorithm has selected this tip for TSG Hoffenheim x Dynamo Kiev:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Dynamo Kiev wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Dynamo Kiev, you can win up to $1955.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for TSG Hoffenheim x Dynamo Kiev:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on TSG Hoffenheim in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-335.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Dynamo Kiev in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $209.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team, TSG Hoffenheim scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the away team, Dynamo Kiev scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 TSG Hoffenheim matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 8 matches as the home team, TSG Hoffenheim conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 road matches, Dynamo Kiev has not lost any of them.

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Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on TSG Hoffenheim x Dynamo Kiev?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on TSG Hoffenheim x Dynamo Kiev, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from TSG Hoffenheim x Dynamo Kiev for the UEFA Europa League – 3 of October

๐ŸŸ๏ธ TSG Hoffenheim X Dynamo Kiev – UEFA Europa League
๐Ÿ“… 3 of October, 2024 – 13:45
๐Ÿ”ต TSG Hoffenheim – Winning probability: 2.30% | Fair line: 43.5
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 4.34% | Fair line: 23.02
๐Ÿ”ด Dynamo Kiev – Winning probability: 93.36% | Fair line: 1.07
โš– Handicap 1×2: +1.25 TSG Hoffenheim
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for TSG Hoffenheim x Dynamo Kiev right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1194161 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for TSG Hoffenheim x Dynamo Kiev

Is it worth betting on TSG Hoffenheim?

๐Ÿ”ต TSG Hoffenheim: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 2.3% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.87. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 20 times – this would give you a profit of $17.40
  • And would lose other 980 times – having a loss of -$980.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$962.60.

Is betting on draw worth it?

โšช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 4.34%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 40 times – having a profit of $110.00;
  • And would lose other 960 times – having a loss of -$960.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$850.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Dynamo Kiev?

๐Ÿ”ด Dynamo Kiev: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 93.36% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.91. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 930 times – profiting $2706.30;
  • And would have lost other 70 times – with a loss of -$70.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$2636.30.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match TSG Hoffenheim x Dynamo Kiev

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

โš– Handicap 1×2: +1.25 TSG Hoffenheim
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for TSG Hoffenheim x Dynamo Kiev

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +1.25 TSG Hoffenheim and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 TSG Hoffenheim.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 1.75, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Dynamo Kiev.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for TSG Hoffenheim x Dynamo Kiev

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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