Brest x Lyon Betting tips for January 11 in France Ligue 1

Our betting tip for Brest x Lyon, Saturday, 11/1/2025

📅 11/1/2025 16:00

Brest 3.10

X 3.55

Lyon 2.15

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Brest x Lyon:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Brest x Lyon

Important information for your tip for Brest x Lyon: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Brest in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $388.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Lyon in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-38.0. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Brest scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Lyon scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Lyon, Brest scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 Lyon matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 Brest is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

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Analysis from Brest x Lyon for the France Ligue 1 – 11 of January

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Brest x Lyon right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1244516 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Brest x Lyon

Should you bet on Brest?

🔵 Brest: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 28.49% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 280 times – this would give you a profit of $588.00
• And would have lost other 720 times – with a loss of -$720.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$132.00.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 27.88% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.55. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 280 times – this would give you a profit of $714.00
• And would have lost other 720 times – with a loss of -$720.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$6.00.

Should you bet on Lyon?

🔴 Lyon: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 43.63% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.15. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 440 times – this would give you a profit of $506.00
• And would lose other 560 times – having a loss of -$560.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$54.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Brest x Lyon

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Brest
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Brest x Lyon

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.75 Brest, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Brest.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Lyon.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Brest x Lyon

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.