📊 Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Clermont Foot x Strasbourg
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Analysis from Clermont Foot x Strasbourg for the France Ligue 1 – 19 of January
🏟️ Clermont Foot X Strasbourg – France Ligue 1
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Clermont Foot and Strasbourg.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 289909 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Clermont Foot x Strasbourg
Should you bet on Clermont Foot?
🔵 Clermont Foot: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 31.36% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.05. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 310 times – this would give you a profit of $635.50
- And would lose other 690 times – having a loss of -$690.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$54.50.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 28.19% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 280 times – profiting $672.00;
- And would lose other 720 times – losing -$720.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$48.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on Strasbourg?
🔴 Strasbourg: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 40.45% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.30. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 400 times – having a profit of $520.00;
- And would have lost other 600 times – with a loss of -$600.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$80.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Clermont Foot x Strasbourg
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Clermont Foot
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Clermont Foot x Strasbourg
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Clermont Foot and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Clermont Foot.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.25 Clermont Foot.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Clermont Foot x Strasbourg
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves