Le Havre x Nantes Betting tips for November 8 in France Ligue 1
| 📅 8/11/2025 18:00 |
 Le Havre2.01 |
X 3.25 |
Nantes  3.75 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Le Havre x Nantes:
🔮 Le Havre wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Le Havre, you can win up to $1005.00!
Some important points for the tip for Le Havre x Nantes:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Le Havre in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $92.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Nantes in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-25.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Le Havre scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 road matches, Nantes has not lost any of them.
🤖 What does ChatGPT say about our prediction for Le Havre vs Nantes?
Lets analyze the match between Le Havre and Nantes at Stade Océane, Le Havres home ground, which features a modern stadium and a supportive crowd. 🏟️
📈 Le Havre is currently 12th in Ligue 1, while Nantes is slightly lower in 15th place. This indicates that both teams are fighting to escape the relegation zone and need these points to improve their standings.
Le Havre shows better offensive stats at home: an average of 2 goals per game compared to just 1 for Nantes away. Additionally, the home team has more shots (12 per game) and more accurate shots (4) compared to the visitors (10 shots and 2 accurate). Ball possession is balanced for Le Havre at around 50%, while Nantes has less possession (46%). Defensively, Nantes concedes more goals away (almost 2 goals in recent matches), showing a vulnerability that the home team can exploit.
The median odds suggest a slight advantage for Le Havre to win (2.03), a draw at 3.20, and Nantes to win at 3.73. Converting these odds into normalized fair probabilities gives approximately: Le Havre win ~47%, draw ~30%, Nantes win ~23%. Considering recent offensive/defensive stats and the implied probabilities, my estimate aligns with this.
Looking at the final odds in the market — Le Havre to win @2.05; Draw @3.20; Nantes to win @3.90 — I see value mainly in betting on the home team because the odds are slightly higher than my fair prediction (~1/0.47 = ~2.13). Bets on the draw or away win seem too expensive given recent team performances.
The Bets Kenya model strongly recommends betting on the home team with a high positive EV (+18%), and I fully agree! The model underestimates the visitors chances by setting a predicted odd above @5 for them — this doesnt match their weak defensive data or recent away performance.
📰 Recent news shows Le Havre is trying to climb out of the lower half of the table after mixed results but has strong support playing at their modern Stade Océane; Nantes, on the other hand, has had inconsistent results including heavy recent defeats like 5-3 against Angers and a heavy loss in the Coupe de France final against Toulouse 5-1 — all negatively affecting their morale.
Suggested Bet: Le Havre to win, as there is clear value in the current odds (@2.05) compared to the estimated fair probability (~47%) considering recent stats + emotional/moral context of the teams.
Expected value calculated: +18% 🚀
Extra tip: Avoid betting on the draw or away win here as they show negative EV based on combined analysis of stats, market, and news.
Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Le Havre x Nantes?
If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2025. You just have to click, deposit and bet:
Analysis from Le Havre x Nantes for the France Ligue 1 – 8 of November
🏟️ Le Havre X Nantes – France Ligue 1
📅 8 of November, 2025 – 18:00
🔵 Le Havre – Winning probability: 65.38% | Fair line: 1.53
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 21.27% | Fair line: 4.7
🔴 Nantes – Winning probability: 13.35% | Fair line: 7.49
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Le Havre
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Le Havre and Nantes.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1434443 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Latest news about Le Havre x Nantes
Le Havre: Le Havre, currently in 12th place on the Ligue 1 2025-26 table, will host Lille at Stade Océane on November 30, 2025, in a match that could be crucial as the club aims to climb out of the lower half of the standings; recent team matches included a notable loss to Mason Greenwood of Manchester United, who scored four goals in the game against Le Havre early in the season, while defender Stephan Zagadou has played sporadically, with limited minutes and no goals or assists in his recent appearances.
Nantes: Nantes is in the middle of the Ligue 1 table, currently in 15th place after a mixed streak that included losses to Metz (2-0) and a 5-3 defeat to Angers in October, a 2-1 victory over Paris Saint-Germain at the end of September, and a 0-0 draw with Brest, while midfielder Junior Mwanga has started eight games this season, contributing one goal, four shots, and a single yellow card. In the Coupe de France, current champions Nantes were defeated 5-1 by Toulouse in the final at Stade de France, although they reached the final by beating Nice 1-0 with a penalty in the second half taken by Ludovic Blas. Nantes’s next Ligue 1 match will be against Lorient at home, Stade de la Beaujoire, on November 23.
Table analysis for the match between Le Havre and Nantes
Le Havre: With 13 points and in 12th place, Le Havre is in a relatively safe zone but still far from the pack fighting for spots in European competitions. Despite that, the gap to the top teams is large, and the team is not at immediate risk of relegation. Therefore, this game is important for Le Havre to maintain a good streak and try to climb the table, but it is not decisive for bigger achievements.
Nantes: Sitting in 15th place with 9 points, Nantes is in a worrying situation: close to the relegation zone and only 1 point ahead of the first team fighting for the playoff spot. Thus, the match against Le Havre is crucial for Nantes to gather points and avoid dropping further down the table, increasing their chance to stay in Ligue 1.
Summary: The game is more decisive for Nantes, which fights to distance itself from the risk of relegation, while for Le Havre, the match is important to improve their ranking but not as critical. Therefore, the confrontation carries more weight for one of the teams.
Tips for the 1×2 market for Le Havre x Nantes
Is it a good idea to bet on Le Havre?
🔵 Le Havre: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 65.38%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.01. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 650 times – profiting $656.50;
- And would lose other 350 times – having a loss of -$350.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$306.50.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 21.27%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 210 times – profiting $472.50;
- And would have lost other 790 times – with a loss of -$790.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$317.50.
Is it worth betting on Nantes?
🔴 Nantes: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 13.35%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.75. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 130 times – this would give you a profit of $357.50
- And would lose other 870 times – losing -$870.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$512.50.
Handicaps analysis for the match Le Havre x Nantes
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Le Havre
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Le Havre x Nantes
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.0 Le Havre, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Le Havre.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Le Havre.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Le Havre x Nantes
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
