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Home » Predictions » France Ligue 1 » Lille x Rennes Betting tips for November 24 in France Ligue 1
Sunday, 24 November 2024, 14h00 France Ligue 1
Lille Lille
PREDICTION Lille wins Probability 59% 1 X 2
Rennes Rennes
ODD: @1.92 Don't miss this prediction!

Lille x Rennes Betting tips for November 24 in France Ligue 1

Our betting tip for Lille x Rennes, Sunday, 24/11/2024
📅 24/11/2024
14:00
Lille Lille
1.92
X
3.53
Rennes Rennes
3.86

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Lille x Rennes:

🔮 Lille wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Lille, you can win up to $960.00!

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Important information for your tip for Lille x Rennes:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Lille in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $180.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Rennes in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Lille scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Rennes, Lille scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Lille conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Rennes conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Lille conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Rennes.
👉 Lille has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Rennes playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Lille x Rennes for the France Ligue 1 – 24 of November

🏟️ Lille X Rennes – France Ligue 1
📅 24 of November, 2024 – 14:00
🔵 Lille – Winning probability: 59.99% | Fair line: 1.67
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 23.33% | Fair line: 4.29
🔴 Rennes – Winning probability: 16.69% | Fair line: 5.99
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Lille
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on Lille x Rennes is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1226284 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Lille x Rennes

Is it a good idea to bet on Lille?

🔵 Lille: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 59.99%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.92. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 600 times – profiting $552.00;
  • And would lose other 400 times – having a loss of -$400.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$152.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 23.33%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.53. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 230 times – having a profit of $581.90;
  • And would have lost other 770 times – with a loss of -$770.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$188.10.

Should you bet on Rennes?

🔴 Rennes: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 16.69% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.86. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 170 times – profiting $486.20;
  • And would lose other 830 times – losing -$830.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$343.80.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Lille x Rennes

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Lille
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Lille x Rennes

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Lille and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Lille.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Rennes.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Lille x Rennes

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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