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21/1/2022 20:00 |
 Lyon1.38 |
X 4.75 |
St Etienne  7.90 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Lyon x St Etienne:
๐ฎ Lyon wins the match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Lyon, you can win up to $690.00!
๐ Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for Lyon x St Etienne
Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Lyon x St Etienne?
If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Lyon x St Etienne, no problem. Right below you have the bookies that we used the most in 2022. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:
Analysis from Lyon x St Etienne for the France Ligue 1 – 21 of January
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๐๏ธ Lyon X St Etienne – France Ligue 1 |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Lyon x St Etienne right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 290581 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Lyon x St Etienne
Is it worth betting on Lyon?
๐ต Lyon: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 82.74% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.38. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 830 times – profiting $315.40;
- And would have lost other 170 times – with a loss of -$170.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐ฐ$145.40.
Should you bet on draw?
โช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 10.85% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.75. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 110 times – profiting $412.50;
- And would lose other 890 times – having a loss of -$890.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐ฐ-$477.50.
Is betting on St Etienne worth it?
๐ด St Etienne: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 6.4% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 7.90. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 60 times – profiting $414.00;
- And would have lost other 940 times – with a loss of -$940.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$526.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Lyon x St Etienne
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
โ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Lyon
โฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Lyon x St Etienne
โ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.5 Lyon and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.5 Lyon.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Lyon x St Etienne
โฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.
Follow our tips on YouTube too
Keep in mind that our team of bettors is daily on YouTube with complete videos of analysis for the best matches of the day. Check out our bets for this Friday right above and subscribe to our betting tips channel.
Get tips from our experts on your cellphone
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Written by
Humberto Alves
Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.
> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
