📊 Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for Marseille x Lille
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Analysis from Marseille x Lille for the France Ligue 1 – 16 of January
🏟️ Marseille X Lille – France Ligue 1
When the best bet on Marseille x Lille is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 288253 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Marseille x Lille
Should you bet on Marseille?
🔵 Marseille: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 50.2% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.38. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 500 times – having a profit of $687.50;
- And would have lost other 500 times – with a loss of -$500.00 because of them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$187.50.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 29.46%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.31. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 290 times – profiting $668.45;
- And would have lost other 710 times – with a loss of -$710.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$41.55.
Should you bet on Lille?
🔴 Lille: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 20.34% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.91. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 200 times – profiting $381.10;
- And would lose other 800 times – having a loss of -$800.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$418.90.
Handicaps analysis for the match Marseille x Lille
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Marseille
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Marseille x Lille
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Marseille and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Marseille.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Marseille.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Marseille x Lille
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.
You can check out our tips on YouTube
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves