📊 Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for Monaco x Clermont Foot
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Analysis from Monaco x Clermont Foot for the France Ligue 1 – 16 of January
🏟️ Monaco X Clermont Foot – France Ligue 1
When the best bet on Monaco x Clermont Foot is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 288046 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Monaco x Clermont Foot
Is it worth betting on Monaco?
🔵 Monaco: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 79.1% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.45. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 790 times – profiting $359.05;
- And would lose other 210 times – having a loss of -$210.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$149.05.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 12.26% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.53. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 120 times – profiting $423.00;
- And would lose other 880 times – losing -$880.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$457.00.
Should you bet on Clermont Foot?
🔴 Clermont Foot: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 8.64% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 6.42. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 90 times – this would give you a profit of $487.35
- And would lose other 910 times – losing -$910.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$422.65.
Handicaps analysis for the match Monaco x Clermont Foot
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Monaco
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Monaco x Clermont Foot
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.25 Monaco, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.25 Monaco. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Monaco x Clermont Foot
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.
You can check out our tips on YouTube
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves